{ "contract": { "contract_version": "2026-04-v1", "source_of_truth": "output/stanley_cup_latest.json", "derived_outputs": [ "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json", "sports/nhl/data/newsletter_latest.json" ], "compatibility_policy": "additive_only", "notes": "Existing consumer keys remain stable. New modules are optional and must be ignored gracefully when absent." }, "data_tiers": { "core": [ "meta", "teams", "series", "bracket", "timestamps", "team_strength" ], "enrichment": [ "goalie_context", "injury_summary", "market_snapshot", "live_scores", "update_summary" ], "experimental": [ "game_probabilities", "detailed_lineups", "advanced_momentum" ] }, "source_inventory": [ { "id": "stanley_cup_latest", "kind": "file", "source": "output/stanley_cup_latest.json", "cadence": "nightly / on-demand", "official": false, "mode": "required", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Abort derived export generation; this is the source of truth." }, { "id": "team_gamelogs_nst", "kind": "file", "source": "data/team_gamelogs_nst.csv", "cadence": "nightly", "official": false, "mode": "required", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "output/team_strength_posterior.csv", "output/stanley_cup_latest.json" ], "fallback": "Keep last good posterior or rerun with existing file only." }, { "id": "goalie_profiles", "kind": "file", "source": "data/goalie_profiles.csv", "cadence": "nightly", "official": false, "mode": "best_effort", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "playoff_simulator", "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Retain previous goalie_profiles.csv if upstream refresh fails." }, { "id": "series_flags", "kind": "file", "source": "data/series_flags.csv", "cadence": "per series update", "official": false, "mode": "required", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "playoff_simulator", "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Use neutral flags (0 injury/rest, original home ice)." }, { "id": "bracket", "kind": "file", "source": "data/bracket.json", "cadence": "per playoff round", "official": false, "mode": "required", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "playoff_simulator", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Use the last published bracket until structure changes." }, { "id": "playoff_pbp", "kind": "file", "source": "data/playoff_pbp.csv", "cadence": "after playoff games", "official": true, "mode": "best_effort", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "data/goalie_playoff_stats.csv", "future game context" ], "fallback": "Keep empty schema or previous extracted playoff goalie stats." }, { "id": "injuries", "kind": "file", "source": "data/injuries.csv", "cadence": "nightly", "official": true, "mode": "best_effort", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Publish with empty injury summary." }, { "id": "odds_consensus", "kind": "file", "source": "data/odds_consensus.csv", "cadence": "nightly / market refresh", "official": false, "mode": "best_effort", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "blend_market_signal", "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "BSTS-only probabilities; market fields remain null." }, { "id": "nhl_scoreboard_live", "kind": "api", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/scoreboard/now", "cadence": "client-side live", "official": true, "mode": "display_only", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "sports/sports-scope.js" ], "fallback": "Hide live cards and keep static page stable." }, { "id": "espn_scoreboard_live", "kind": "api", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard", "cadence": "client-side every minute", "official": false, "mode": "display_only", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "sports/nhl/js/app.js" ], "fallback": "Hide scores section silently." } ], "generated_at": "2026-05-21T21:14:32.975222+00:00", "site": "vote-scope.com", "hero": { "favorite_label_fr": "Avalanche du Colorado", "favorite_label_en": "Colorado Avalanche", "favorite_prob": 51.26, "runner_up_label_fr": "Hurricanes de la Caroline", "runner_up_label_en": "Carolina Hurricanes", "runner_up_prob": 33.5, "riser_label_fr": "Hurricanes de la Caroline", "riser_label_en": "Carolina Hurricanes", "riser_trend": 4.04 }, "board_meta": { "run_date": "2026-05-21", "source_export": "newsletter_latest.json", "model": "EWMA game-log + GoalieLayer HDSV% + playoff form recalibration", "n_sims": 10000, "version": "1.1" }, "board": [ { "team": "col", "label_fr": "Avalanche du Colorado", "label_en": "Colorado Avalanche", "emoji": "đŸ”ïž", "conference": "west", "division": "central", "color": "#6F263D", "p_cup_win": 51.26, "p_cup_final": 76.41, "p_conf_final": 100.0, "p_second_round": 100.0, "strength_mean": 56.54, "trend_7d": -0.78, "trend_direction": "stable", "p_cup_bsts": 57.69, "p_cup_market": 23.44, "market_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.921, "goalie": { "player_name": "Scott Wedgewood", "team": "COL", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 44, "sv_pct": 0.9197, "hd_sv_pct": 0.838, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.23441, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9213, "timestamp": "2026-05-21T17:14:08.019549" } }, { "team": "car", "label_fr": "Hurricanes de la Caroline", "label_en": "Carolina Hurricanes", "emoji": "🌀", "conference": "east", "division": "metro", "color": "#CC0000", "p_cup_win": 33.5, "p_cup_final": 85.61, "p_conf_final": 100.0, "p_second_round": 100.0, "strength_mean": 60.38, "trend_7d": 4.04, "trend_direction": "up", "p_cup_bsts": 32.09, "p_cup_market": 29.97, "market_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.914, "goalie": { "player_name": "Brandon Bussi", "team": "CAR", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 39, "sv_pct": 0.89473, "hd_sv_pct": 0.816, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.29969, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9138, "timestamp": "2026-05-21T17:14:08.019549" } }, { "team": "vgk", "label_fr": "Golden Knights de Vegas", "label_en": "Vegas Golden Knights", "emoji": "⚔", "conference": "west", "division": "pacific", "color": "#B4975A", "p_cup_win": 11.06, "p_cup_final": 23.59, "p_conf_final": 100.0, "p_second_round": 100.0, "strength_mean": 51.86, "trend_7d": 0.55, "trend_direction": "stable", "p_cup_bsts": 8.33, "p_cup_market": 15.66, "market_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.944, "goalie": { "player_name": "Akira Schmid", "team": "VGK", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 34, "sv_pct": 0.89254, "hd_sv_pct": 0.795, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.15661, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9437, "timestamp": "2026-05-21T17:14:08.019549" } }, { "team": "mtl", "label_fr": "Canadiens de MontrĂ©al", "label_en": "MontrĂ©al Canadiens", "emoji": "🔮", "conference": "east", "division": "atlantic", "color": "#AF1E2D", "p_cup_win": 4.18, "p_cup_final": 14.39, "p_conf_final": 100.0, "p_second_round": 100.0, "strength_mean": 48.44, "trend_7d": 1.02, "trend_direction": "up", "p_cup_bsts": 1.89, "p_cup_market": 8.94, "market_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.965, "goalie": { "player_name": "Jakub Dobes", "team": "MTL", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 43, "sv_pct": 0.90143, "hd_sv_pct": 0.821, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.0894, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9651, "timestamp": "2026-05-21T17:14:08.019549" } }, { "team": "ana", "label_fr": "Ducks d'Anaheim", "label_en": "Anaheim Ducks", "emoji": "🩆", "conference": "west", "division": "pacific", "color": "#F47A38", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 51.9, "trend_7d": -3.65, "trend_direction": "down", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Lukas Dostal", "team": "ANA", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 56, "sv_pct": 0.8883, "hd_sv_pct": 0.821, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.01449, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.8837, "timestamp": "2026-05-14T11:45:39.995234" } }, { "team": "bos", "label_fr": "Bruins de Boston", "label_en": "Boston Bruins", "emoji": "đŸ»", "conference": "east", "division": "atlantic", "color": "#FFB81C", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 44.27, "trend_7d": -2.94, "trend_direction": "down", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Jeremy Swayman", "team": "BOS", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 55, "sv_pct": 0.9077, "hd_sv_pct": 0.838, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.00233, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.3, "timestamp": "2026-05-01T23:36:14.012671" } }, { "team": "buf", "label_fr": "Sabres de Buffalo", "label_en": "Buffalo Sabres", "emoji": "🩬", "conference": "east", "division": "atlantic", "color": "#003087", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 52.62, "trend_7d": -1.89, "trend_direction": "down", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Alex Lyon", "team": "BUF", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 36, "sv_pct": 0.90704, "hd_sv_pct": 0.817, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.04895, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9142, "timestamp": "2026-05-14T11:45:39.995234" } }, { "team": "dal", "label_fr": "Stars de Dallas", "label_en": "Dallas Stars", "emoji": "⭐", "conference": "west", "division": "central", "color": "#006847", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 49.5, "trend_7d": -0.24, "trend_direction": "stable", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Jake Oettinger", "team": "DAL", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 54, "sv_pct": 0.89941, "hd_sv_pct": 0.825, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.00912, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.3, "timestamp": "2026-05-01T00:55:17.021170" } }, { "team": "edm", "label_fr": "Oilers d'Edmonton", "label_en": "Edmonton Oilers", "emoji": "đŸ›ąïž", "conference": "west", "division": "pacific", "color": "#041E42", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 46.53, "trend_7d": -3.35, "trend_direction": "down", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Stuart Skinner", "team": "EDM", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 50, "sv_pct": 0.88792, "hd_sv_pct": 0.798, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.00587, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.3, "timestamp": "2026-05-01T00:55:17.021170" } }, { "team": "lak", "label_fr": "Kings de Los Angeles", "label_en": "Los Angeles Kings", "emoji": "👑", "conference": "west", "division": "pacific", "color": "#111111", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 47.92, "trend_7d": -1.95, "trend_direction": "down", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Darcy Kuemper", "team": "LAK", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 50, "sv_pct": 0.89141, "hd_sv_pct": 0.822, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.00124, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.959, "timestamp": "2026-04-26T12:54:40.029435" } }, { "team": "min", "label_fr": "Wild du Minnesota", "label_en": "Minnesota Wild", "emoji": "đŸŒČ", "conference": "west", "division": "central", "color": "#154734", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 47.44, "trend_7d": -3.22, "trend_direction": "down", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Filip Gustavsson", "team": "MIN", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 50, "sv_pct": 0.90413, "hd_sv_pct": 0.81, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.0135, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.8545, "timestamp": "2026-05-13T15:38:11.728583" } }, { "team": "ott", "label_fr": "SĂ©nateurs d'Ottawa", "label_en": "Ottawa Senators", "emoji": "đŸ›ïž", "conference": "east", "division": "atlantic", "color": "#C52032", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 47.34, "trend_7d": -1.61, "trend_direction": "down", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Linus Ullmark", "team": "OTT", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 49, "sv_pct": 0.89065, "hd_sv_pct": 0.772, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.01723, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.8583, "timestamp": "2026-04-23T11:14:32.687274" } }, { "team": "phi", "label_fr": "Flyers de Philadelphie", "label_en": "Philadelphia Flyers", "emoji": "🟠", "conference": "east", "division": "metro", "color": "#F74902", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 43.37, "trend_7d": -6.37, "trend_direction": "down", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Dan Vladar", "team": "PHI", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 52, "sv_pct": 0.90568, "hd_sv_pct": 0.832, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.01744, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9227, "timestamp": "2026-05-03T13:10:04.043730" } }, { "team": "pit", "label_fr": "Penguins de Pittsburgh", "label_en": "Pittsburgh Penguins", "emoji": "🐧", "conference": "east", "division": "metro", "color": "#CFC493", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 50.57, "trend_7d": 2.03, "trend_direction": "up", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Arturs Silovs", "team": "PIT", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 39, "sv_pct": 0.88823, "hd_sv_pct": 0.775, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.00681, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.6978, "timestamp": "2026-04-29T14:13:35.461565" } }, { "team": "tbl", "label_fr": "Lightning de Tampa Bay", "label_en": "Tampa Bay Lightning", "emoji": "⚡", "conference": "east", "division": "atlantic", "color": "#002868", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 52.57, "trend_7d": 2.39, "trend_direction": "up", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Andrei Vasilevskiy", "team": "TBL", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 58, "sv_pct": 0.91233, "hd_sv_pct": 0.848, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.06743, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.8947, "timestamp": "2026-05-03T13:10:04.043730" } }, { "team": "uta", "label_fr": "Mammoth de l'Utah", "label_en": "Utah Mammoth", "emoji": "🩣", "conference": "west", "division": "central", "color": "#71B2C9", "p_cup_win": 0.0, "p_cup_final": 0.0, "p_conf_final": 0.0, "p_second_round": 0.0, "strength_mean": 47.4, "trend_7d": -1.16, "trend_direction": "down", "p_cup_bsts": 0.0, "p_cup_market": 0.0, "market_books": 0, "market_confidence": 0.0, "goalie": { "player_name": "Karel Vejmelka", "team": "UTA", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 63, "sv_pct": 0.89738, "hd_sv_pct": 0.8, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "injury_summary": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "market_snapshot": { "p_cup_market": 0.0077, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.3352, "timestamp": "2026-05-01T23:36:14.012671" } } ], "bracket": { "status": { "current_round": "conf_final", "series_started": true, "last_updated": "2026-05-21" }, "east": { "note": "ConfĂ©rence Est — 8 Ă©quipes", "first_round": [ { "series_id": "E1", "team_a": "car", "team_b": "ott", "seed_a": 1, "seed_b": 8, "home_team": "car", "type": "champion_vs_wildcard", "note": "CAR (Metro 1) vs OTT (WC2) — sĂ©rie officielle confirmĂ©e 18 avril", "round": "first_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Hurricanes de la Caroline", "team_a_label_en": "Carolina Hurricanes", "team_a_color": "#CC0000", "team_b_label_fr": "SĂ©nateurs d'Ottawa", "team_b_label_en": "Ottawa Senators", "team_b_color": "#C52032", "home_team_label_fr": "Hurricanes de la Caroline", "home_team_label_en": "Carolina Hurricanes", "home_team_color": "#CC0000", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null }, { "series_id": "E2", "team_a": "buf", "team_b": "bos", "seed_a": 2, "seed_b": 7, "home_team": "buf", "type": "champion_vs_wildcard", "note": "BUF (Atlantic 1) vs BOS (WC1) — sĂ©rie officielle confirmĂ©e 19 avril", "round": "first_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Sabres de Buffalo", "team_a_label_en": "Buffalo Sabres", "team_a_color": "#003087", "team_b_label_fr": "Bruins de Boston", "team_b_label_en": "Boston Bruins", "team_b_color": "#FFB81C", "home_team_label_fr": "Sabres de Buffalo", "home_team_label_en": "Buffalo Sabres", "home_team_color": "#003087", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null }, { "series_id": "E3", "team_a": "tbl", "team_b": "mtl", "seed_a": 3, "seed_b": 4, "home_team": "tbl", "type": "intra_division", "note": "TBL (Atlantic 2) vs MTL (Canadiens) — 19 avril 17h45 HE", "round": "first_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Lightning de Tampa Bay", "team_a_label_en": "Tampa Bay Lightning", "team_a_color": "#002868", "team_b_label_fr": "Canadiens de MontrĂ©al", "team_b_label_en": "MontrĂ©al Canadiens", "team_b_color": "#AF1E2D", "home_team_label_fr": "Lightning de Tampa Bay", "home_team_label_en": "Tampa Bay Lightning", "home_team_color": "#002868", "home_wins": 3, "away_wins": 4, "games_played": 7, "series_winner": "mtl" }, { "series_id": "E4", "team_a": "pit", "team_b": "phi", "seed_a": 5, "seed_b": 6, "home_team": "pit", "type": "intra_division", "note": "PIT (Metro 2) vs PHI (Metro 3) — 18 avril 20h HE", "round": "first_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Penguins de Pittsburgh", "team_a_label_en": "Pittsburgh Penguins", "team_a_color": "#CFC493", "team_b_label_fr": "Flyers de Philadelphie", "team_b_label_en": "Philadelphia Flyers", "team_b_color": "#F74902", "home_team_label_fr": "Penguins de Pittsburgh", "home_team_label_en": "Pittsburgh Penguins", "home_team_color": "#CFC493", "home_wins": 2, "away_wins": 4, "games_played": 6, "series_winner": "phi" } ], "second_round": [ { "series_id": "E5", "team_a": "car", "team_b": "phi", "source_a": "E1", "source_b": "E4", "home_team": "car", "note": "CAR vs PHI — demi-finale de confĂ©rence dĂ©jĂ  lancĂ©e", "round": "second_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Hurricanes de la Caroline", "team_a_label_en": "Carolina Hurricanes", "team_a_color": "#CC0000", "team_b_label_fr": "Flyers de Philadelphie", "team_b_label_en": "Philadelphia Flyers", "team_b_color": "#F74902", "home_team_label_fr": "Hurricanes de la Caroline", "home_team_label_en": "Carolina Hurricanes", "home_team_color": "#CC0000", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null }, { "series_id": "E6", "team_a": "buf", "team_b": "mtl", "source_a": "E2", "source_b": "E3", "home_team": "buf", "note": "BUF vs MTL — demi-finale de confĂ©rence dĂ©jĂ  lancĂ©e", "round": "second_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Sabres de Buffalo", "team_a_label_en": "Buffalo Sabres", "team_a_color": "#003087", "team_b_label_fr": "Canadiens de MontrĂ©al", "team_b_label_en": "MontrĂ©al Canadiens", "team_b_color": "#AF1E2D", "home_team_label_fr": "Sabres de Buffalo", "home_team_label_en": "Buffalo Sabres", "home_team_color": "#003087", "home_wins": 3, "away_wins": 4, "games_played": 7, "series_winner": "mtl" } ], "conf_final": [ { "series_id": "ECF", "team_a": "car", "team_b": "mtl", "source_a": "E5", "source_b": "E6", "home_team": "car", "note": "Finale de confĂ©rence Est — CAR vs MTL", "round": "conf_final", "team_a_label_fr": "Hurricanes de la Caroline", "team_a_label_en": "Carolina Hurricanes", "team_a_color": "#CC0000", "team_b_label_fr": "Canadiens de MontrĂ©al", "team_b_label_en": "MontrĂ©al Canadiens", "team_b_color": "#AF1E2D", "home_team_label_fr": "Hurricanes de la Caroline", "home_team_label_en": "Carolina Hurricanes", "home_team_color": "#CC0000", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null } ], "cup_final": [ { "series_id": "SCF", "team_a": "tbd_ecf", "team_b": "tbd_wcf", "source_a": "ECF", "source_b": "WCF", "note": "Finale de la Coupe Stanley", "round": "cup_final", "team_a_label_fr": "À dĂ©terminer", "team_a_label_en": "TBD", "team_a_color": "#888", "team_b_label_fr": "À dĂ©terminer", "team_b_label_en": "TBD", "team_b_color": "#888", "home_team_label_fr": "À dĂ©terminer", "home_team_label_en": "TBD", "home_team_color": "#888", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null } ] }, "west": { "note": "ConfĂ©rence Ouest — 8 Ă©quipes", "first_round": [ { "series_id": "W1", "team_a": "col", "team_b": "lak", "seed_a": 1, "seed_b": 8, "home_team": "col", "type": "champion_vs_wildcard", "note": "COL (Central 1) vs LAK (WC2, Pacific) — divisions diffĂ©rentes", "round": "first_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Avalanche du Colorado", "team_a_label_en": "Colorado Avalanche", "team_a_color": "#6F263D", "team_b_label_fr": "Kings de Los Angeles", "team_b_label_en": "Los Angeles Kings", "team_b_color": "#111111", "home_team_label_fr": "Avalanche du Colorado", "home_team_label_en": "Colorado Avalanche", "home_team_color": "#6F263D", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null }, { "series_id": "W2", "team_a": "vgk", "team_b": "uta", "seed_a": 2, "seed_b": 5, "home_team": "vgk", "type": "champion_vs_wildcard", "note": "VGK (Pacific 1) vs UTA (WC1, Central) — divisions diffĂ©rentes", "round": "first_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Golden Knights de Vegas", "team_a_label_en": "Vegas Golden Knights", "team_a_color": "#B4975A", "team_b_label_fr": "Mammoth de l'Utah", "team_b_label_en": "Utah Mammoth", "team_b_color": "#71B2C9", "home_team_label_fr": "Golden Knights de Vegas", "home_team_label_en": "Vegas Golden Knights", "home_team_color": "#B4975A", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null }, { "series_id": "W3", "team_a": "dal", "team_b": "min", "seed_a": 3, "seed_b": 4, "home_team": "dal", "type": "intra_division", "note": "DAL (Central 2, 112pts) vs MIN (Central 3, 104pts)", "round": "first_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Stars de Dallas", "team_a_label_en": "Dallas Stars", "team_a_color": "#006847", "team_b_label_fr": "Wild du Minnesota", "team_b_label_en": "Minnesota Wild", "team_b_color": "#154734", "home_team_label_fr": "Stars de Dallas", "home_team_label_en": "Dallas Stars", "home_team_color": "#006847", "home_wins": 2, "away_wins": 4, "games_played": 6, "series_winner": "min" }, { "series_id": "W4", "team_a": "edm", "team_b": "ana", "seed_a": 6, "seed_b": 7, "home_team": "edm", "type": "intra_division", "note": "EDM (Pacific 2, 91pts) vs ANA (Pacific 3, 90pts)", "round": "first_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Oilers d'Edmonton", "team_a_label_en": "Edmonton Oilers", "team_a_color": "#041E42", "team_b_label_fr": "Ducks d'Anaheim", "team_b_label_en": "Anaheim Ducks", "team_b_color": "#F47A38", "home_team_label_fr": "Oilers d'Edmonton", "home_team_label_en": "Edmonton Oilers", "home_team_color": "#041E42", "home_wins": 2, "away_wins": 4, "games_played": 6, "series_winner": "ana" } ], "second_round": [ { "series_id": "W5", "team_a": "col", "team_b": "min", "source_a": "W1", "source_b": "W3", "home_team": "col", "note": "COL vs MIN — demi-finale de confĂ©rence dĂ©jĂ  lancĂ©e", "round": "second_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Avalanche du Colorado", "team_a_label_en": "Colorado Avalanche", "team_a_color": "#6F263D", "team_b_label_fr": "Wild du Minnesota", "team_b_label_en": "Minnesota Wild", "team_b_color": "#154734", "home_team_label_fr": "Avalanche du Colorado", "home_team_label_en": "Colorado Avalanche", "home_team_color": "#6F263D", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null }, { "series_id": "W6", "team_a": "vgk", "team_b": "ana", "source_a": "W2", "source_b": "W4", "home_team": "vgk", "note": "VGK vs ANA", "round": "second_round", "team_a_label_fr": "Golden Knights de Vegas", "team_a_label_en": "Vegas Golden Knights", "team_a_color": "#B4975A", "team_b_label_fr": "Ducks d'Anaheim", "team_b_label_en": "Anaheim Ducks", "team_b_color": "#F47A38", "home_team_label_fr": "Golden Knights de Vegas", "home_team_label_en": "Vegas Golden Knights", "home_team_color": "#B4975A", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null } ], "conf_final": [ { "series_id": "WCF", "team_a": "col", "team_b": "vgk", "source_a": "W5", "source_b": "W6", "home_team": "col", "note": "Finale de confĂ©rence Ouest — COL vs VGK", "round": "conf_final", "team_a_label_fr": "Avalanche du Colorado", "team_a_label_en": "Colorado Avalanche", "team_a_color": "#6F263D", "team_b_label_fr": "Golden Knights de Vegas", "team_b_label_en": "Vegas Golden Knights", "team_b_color": "#B4975A", "home_team_label_fr": "Avalanche du Colorado", "home_team_label_en": "Colorado Avalanche", "home_team_color": "#6F263D", "home_wins": 1, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 1, "series_winner": null } ], "cup_final": [ { "series_id": "SCF", "team_a": "tbd_ecf", "team_b": "tbd_wcf", "source_a": "ECF", "source_b": "WCF", "note": "Finale de la Coupe Stanley", "round": "cup_final", "team_a_label_fr": "À dĂ©terminer", "team_a_label_en": "TBD", "team_a_color": "#888", "team_b_label_fr": "À dĂ©terminer", "team_b_label_en": "TBD", "team_b_color": "#888", "home_team_label_fr": "À dĂ©terminer", "home_team_label_en": "TBD", "home_team_color": "#888", "home_wins": 0, "away_wins": 0, "games_played": 0, "series_winner": null } ] } }, "goalie_context": { "available": true, "teams": { "car": { "player_name": "Brandon Bussi", "team": "CAR", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 39, "sv_pct": 0.89473, "hd_sv_pct": 0.816, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "bos": { "player_name": "Jeremy Swayman", "team": "BOS", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 55, "sv_pct": 0.9077, "hd_sv_pct": 0.838, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "buf": { "player_name": "Alex Lyon", "team": "BUF", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 36, "sv_pct": 0.90704, "hd_sv_pct": 0.817, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "ott": { "player_name": "Linus Ullmark", "team": "OTT", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 49, "sv_pct": 0.89065, "hd_sv_pct": 0.772, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "tbl": { "player_name": "Andrei Vasilevskiy", "team": "TBL", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 58, "sv_pct": 0.91233, "hd_sv_pct": 0.848, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "mtl": { "player_name": "Jakub Dobes", "team": "MTL", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 43, "sv_pct": 0.90143, "hd_sv_pct": 0.821, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "phi": { "player_name": "Dan Vladar", "team": "PHI", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 52, "sv_pct": 0.90568, "hd_sv_pct": 0.832, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "pit": { "player_name": "Arturs Silovs", "team": "PIT", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 39, "sv_pct": 0.88823, "hd_sv_pct": 0.775, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "col": { "player_name": "Scott Wedgewood", "team": "COL", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 44, "sv_pct": 0.9197, "hd_sv_pct": 0.838, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "lak": { "player_name": "Darcy Kuemper", "team": "LAK", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 50, "sv_pct": 0.89141, "hd_sv_pct": 0.822, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "vgk": { "player_name": "Akira Schmid", "team": "VGK", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 34, "sv_pct": 0.89254, "hd_sv_pct": 0.795, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "uta": { "player_name": "Karel Vejmelka", "team": "UTA", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 63, "sv_pct": 0.89738, "hd_sv_pct": 0.8, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "dal": { "player_name": "Jake Oettinger", "team": "DAL", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 54, "sv_pct": 0.89941, "hd_sv_pct": 0.825, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "min": { "player_name": "Filip Gustavsson", "team": "MIN", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 50, "sv_pct": 0.90413, "hd_sv_pct": 0.81, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "edm": { "player_name": "Stuart Skinner", "team": "EDM", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 50, "sv_pct": 0.88792, "hd_sv_pct": 0.798, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" }, "ana": { "player_name": "Lukas Dostal", "team": "ANA", "probable_starter": true, "injury_status": "healthy", "games_played": 56, "sv_pct": 0.8883, "hd_sv_pct": 0.821, "goalie_strength": null, "last_updated": "2026-04-16" } } }, "injury_summary": { "available": false, "teams": { "ANA": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "MIN": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "MTL": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "VGK": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "EDM": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "LAK": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "BOS": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "COL": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "TBL": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "PIT": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "UTA": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "OTT": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "BUF": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "CAR": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "PHI": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] }, "DAL": { "count": 0, "goalies": 0, "impact_sum": 0.0, "players": [] } } }, "market_snapshot": { "available": true, "timestamp": "2026-05-21T17:14:08.019549", "teams": { "CAR": { "p_cup_market": 0.29969, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9138, "timestamp": "2026-05-21T17:14:08.019549" }, "COL": { "p_cup_market": 0.23441, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9213, "timestamp": "2026-05-21T17:14:08.019549" }, "VGK": { "p_cup_market": 0.15661, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9437, "timestamp": "2026-05-21T17:14:08.019549" }, "MTL": { "p_cup_market": 0.0894, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9651, "timestamp": "2026-05-21T17:14:08.019549" }, "TBL": { "p_cup_market": 0.06743, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.8947, "timestamp": "2026-05-03T13:10:04.043730" }, "BUF": { "p_cup_market": 0.04895, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9142, "timestamp": "2026-05-14T11:45:39.995234" }, "PHI": { "p_cup_market": 0.01744, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.9227, "timestamp": "2026-05-03T13:10:04.043730" }, "OTT": { "p_cup_market": 0.01723, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.8583, "timestamp": "2026-04-23T11:14:32.687274" }, "ANA": { "p_cup_market": 0.01449, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.8837, "timestamp": "2026-05-14T11:45:39.995234" }, "MIN": { "p_cup_market": 0.0135, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.8545, "timestamp": "2026-05-13T15:38:11.728583" }, "DAL": { "p_cup_market": 0.00912, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.3, "timestamp": "2026-05-01T00:55:17.021170" }, "UTA": { "p_cup_market": 0.0077, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.3352, "timestamp": "2026-05-01T23:36:14.012671" }, "PIT": { "p_cup_market": 0.00681, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.6978, "timestamp": "2026-04-29T14:13:35.461565" }, "EDM": { "p_cup_market": 0.00587, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.3, "timestamp": "2026-05-01T00:55:17.021170" }, "BOS": { "p_cup_market": 0.00233, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.3, "timestamp": "2026-05-01T23:36:14.012671" }, "LAK": { "p_cup_market": 0.00124, "n_books": 2, "market_confidence": 0.959, "timestamp": "2026-04-26T12:54:40.029435" } } }, "series_context": { "available": true, "series": [ { "series_id": "ECF", "updated_at": "2026-05-21", "teams": { "CAR": { "opponent": "MTL", "home_ice": true, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 0, "series_losses": 0 }, "MTL": { "opponent": "CAR", "home_ice": false, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 0, "series_losses": 0 } } }, { "series_id": "E1", "updated_at": "2026-04-27", "teams": { "OTT": { "opponent": "CAR", "home_ice": false, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 0, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "E6", "updated_at": "2026-05-21", "teams": { "BUF": { "opponent": "MTL", "home_ice": true, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 3, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "E2", "updated_at": "2026-05-03", "teams": { "BOS": { "opponent": "BUF", "home_ice": false, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 2, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "E3", "updated_at": "2026-05-12", "teams": { "TBL": { "opponent": "MTL", "home_ice": true, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 3, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "E4", "updated_at": "2026-05-02", "teams": { "PIT": { "opponent": "PHI", "home_ice": true, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 2, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "E5", "updated_at": "2026-05-12", "teams": { "PHI": { "opponent": "CAR", "home_ice": false, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 0, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "WCF", "updated_at": "2026-05-21", "teams": { "COL": { "opponent": "VGK", "home_ice": true, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 0, "series_losses": 1 }, "VGK": { "opponent": "COL", "home_ice": true, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 1, "series_losses": 0 } } }, { "series_id": "W1", "updated_at": "2026-04-30", "teams": { "LAK": { "opponent": "COL", "home_ice": false, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 0, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "W2", "updated_at": "2026-05-03", "teams": { "UTA": { "opponent": "VGK", "home_ice": false, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 2, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "W3", "updated_at": "2026-05-03", "teams": { "DAL": { "opponent": "MIN", "home_ice": true, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 2, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "W5", "updated_at": "2026-05-14", "teams": { "MIN": { "opponent": "COL", "home_ice": false, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 1, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "W4", "updated_at": "2026-05-03", "teams": { "EDM": { "opponent": "ANA", "home_ice": true, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 2, "series_losses": 4 } } }, { "series_id": "W6", "updated_at": "2026-05-21", "teams": { "ANA": { "opponent": "VGK", "home_ice": false, "rest_advantage_days": 0.0, "injury_impact": 0.0, "series_wins": 2, "series_losses": 4 } } } ] }, "game_probabilities": { "contract": { "contract_version": "2026-04-v1", "source_of_truth": "output/stanley_cup_latest.json", "derived_outputs": [ "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json", "sports/nhl/data/newsletter_latest.json" ], "compatibility_policy": "additive_only", "notes": "Existing consumer keys remain stable. New modules are optional and must be ignored gracefully when absent." }, "data_tiers": { "core": [ "meta", "teams", "series", "bracket", "timestamps", "team_strength" ], "enrichment": [ "goalie_context", "injury_summary", "market_snapshot", "live_scores", "update_summary" ], "experimental": [ "game_probabilities", "detailed_lineups", "advanced_momentum" ] }, "source_inventory": [ { "id": "stanley_cup_latest", "kind": "file", "source": "output/stanley_cup_latest.json", "cadence": "nightly / on-demand", "official": false, "mode": "required", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Abort derived export generation; this is the source of truth." }, { "id": "team_gamelogs_nst", "kind": "file", "source": "data/team_gamelogs_nst.csv", "cadence": "nightly", "official": false, "mode": "required", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "output/team_strength_posterior.csv", "output/stanley_cup_latest.json" ], "fallback": "Keep last good posterior or rerun with existing file only." }, { "id": "goalie_profiles", "kind": "file", "source": "data/goalie_profiles.csv", "cadence": "nightly", "official": false, "mode": "best_effort", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "playoff_simulator", "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Retain previous goalie_profiles.csv if upstream refresh fails." }, { "id": "series_flags", "kind": "file", "source": "data/series_flags.csv", "cadence": "per series update", "official": false, "mode": "required", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "playoff_simulator", "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Use neutral flags (0 injury/rest, original home ice)." }, { "id": "bracket", "kind": "file", "source": "data/bracket.json", "cadence": "per playoff round", "official": false, "mode": "required", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "playoff_simulator", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Use the last published bracket until structure changes." }, { "id": "playoff_pbp", "kind": "file", "source": "data/playoff_pbp.csv", "cadence": "after playoff games", "official": true, "mode": "best_effort", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "data/goalie_playoff_stats.csv", "future game context" ], "fallback": "Keep empty schema or previous extracted playoff goalie stats." }, { "id": "injuries", "kind": "file", "source": "data/injuries.csv", "cadence": "nightly", "official": true, "mode": "best_effort", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "Publish with empty injury summary." }, { "id": "odds_consensus", "kind": "file", "source": "data/odds_consensus.csv", "cadence": "nightly / market refresh", "official": false, "mode": "best_effort", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "blend_market_signal", "output/newsletter_latest.json", "web_data/sports/latest.json" ], "fallback": "BSTS-only probabilities; market fields remain null." }, { "id": "nhl_scoreboard_live", "kind": "api", "source": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/scoreboard/now", "cadence": "client-side live", "official": true, "mode": "display_only", "reliability": "high", "downstream": [ "sports/sports-scope.js" ], "fallback": "Hide live cards and keep static page stable." }, { "id": "espn_scoreboard_live", "kind": "api", "source": "https://site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/hockey/nhl/scoreboard", "cadence": "client-side every minute", "official": false, "mode": "display_only", "reliability": "medium", "downstream": [ "sports/nhl/js/app.js" ], "fallback": "Hide scores section silently." } ], "meta": { "generated_at": "2026-05-21T21:14:14.228967+00:00", "model": "posterior + goalie blend + context adjustments + poisson score layer", "version": "0.1.0", "source_mode": "official_scoreboard", "scoreboard_url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/scoreboard/now" }, "games": [ { "game_id": 2025030311, "series_id": "ECF", "start_time_utc": "2026-05-22T00:00:00Z", "game_state": "FUT", "date": "2026-05-21", "home_team": "CAR", "away_team": "MTL", "home_team_name": "CAR", "home_win_prob": 0.7319, "away_win_prob": 0.2681, "expected_goals_home": 3.71, "expected_goals_away": 1.75, "expected_total_goals": 5.45, "overtime_prob": 0.1262, "win_breakdown": { "home_regulation": 0.7208, "home_overtime": 0.0923, "away_regulation": 0.1391, "away_overtime": 0.0338 }, "context": { "home_ice_team": "CAR", "home_context_adjustment": 2.5, "away_context_adjustment": 0.0, "sept_e_joueur_applied": false, "home_goalie": { "goalie_name": "Brandon Bussi", "goalie_strength": 48.7, "goalie_sd": 1.05, "sv_pct": 0.89473, "gsaa": -1.76, "injury_status": "healthy", "blend": 0.5 }, "away_goalie": { "goalie_name": "Jakub Dobes", "goalie_strength": 51.3, "goalie_sd": 0.85, "sv_pct": 0.90143, "gsaa": 6.99, "injury_status": "healthy", "blend": 0.5 }, "home_team_strength": 60.38, "away_team_strength": 48.44, "home_effective_strength": 57.04, "away_effective_strength": 49.87, "series_game_number": 1, "top_seed_team": "CAR", "top_seed_wins": 0, "bottom_seed_team": "MTL", "bottom_seed_wins": 0 }, "series_impact": { "series_prob_home_now": 0.8561, "series_prob_away_now": 0.1439, "series_prob_home_if_home_wins": 0.9096, "series_prob_away_if_home_wins": 0.0904, "series_prob_home_if_away_wins": 0.7028, "series_prob_away_if_away_wins": 0.2972, "top_seed_team": "CAR", "bottom_seed_team": "MTL", "top_seed_host_win_prob": 0.7319, "top_seed_road_win_prob": 0.5755 }, "score_distribution": [ { "home_goals": 3, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.088218 }, { "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.071647 }, { "home_goals": 3, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.063502 }, { "home_goals": 4, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.058874 }, { "home_goals": 4, "away_goals": 3, "probability": 0.053477 }, { "home_goals": 4, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.051372 }, { "home_goals": 5, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.043666 }, { "home_goals": 5, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.038103 } ], "charts": { "home_goal_pmf": [ { "goals": 0, "probability": 0.024515 }, { "goals": 1, "probability": 0.090912 }, { "goals": 2, "probability": 0.168573 }, { "goals": 3, "probability": 0.208384 }, { "goals": 4, "probability": 0.193197 }, { "goals": 5, "probability": 0.143293 }, { "goals": 6, "probability": 0.088567 }, { "goals": 7, "probability": 0.046921 }, { "goals": 8, "probability": 0.021751 } ], "away_goal_pmf": [ { "goals": 0, "probability": 0.174616 }, { "goals": 1, "probability": 0.304734 }, { "goals": 2, "probability": 0.265906 }, { "goals": 3, "probability": 0.154683 }, { "goals": 4, "probability": 0.067487 }, { "goals": 5, "probability": 0.023555 }, { "goals": 6, "probability": 0.006851 }, { "goals": 7, "probability": 0.001708 }, { "goals": 8, "probability": 0.000373 } ] }, "source_mode": "official_scoreboard", "game_center_link": "/gamecenter/mtl-vs-car/2026/05/21/2025030311", "venue": "Lenovo Center", "network": [ "TNT", "truTV", "HBO MAX", "CBC", "SN", "TVAS" ] }, { "game_id": 2025030322, "series_id": "WCF", "start_time_utc": "2026-05-23T00:00:00Z", "game_state": "FUT", "date": "2026-05-22", "home_team": "COL", "away_team": "VGK", "home_team_name": "COL", "home_win_prob": 0.7391, "away_win_prob": 0.2609, "expected_goals_home": 3.76, "expected_goals_away": 1.77, "expected_total_goals": 5.53, "overtime_prob": 0.1246, "win_breakdown": { "home_regulation": 0.7222, "home_overtime": 0.0921, "away_regulation": 0.1381, "away_overtime": 0.0325 }, "context": { "home_ice_team": "COL", "home_context_adjustment": 2.5, "away_context_adjustment": 2.5, "sept_e_joueur_applied": false, "home_goalie": { "goalie_name": "Scott Wedgewood", "goalie_strength": 58.0, "goalie_sd": 0.8, "sv_pct": 0.9197, "gsaa": 25.76, "injury_status": "healthy", "blend": 0.5 }, "away_goalie": { "goalie_name": "Akira Schmid", "goalie_strength": 47.8, "goalie_sd": 1.3, "sv_pct": 0.89254, "gsaa": -2.1, "injury_status": "healthy", "blend": 0.5 }, "home_team_strength": 56.54, "away_team_strength": 51.86, "home_effective_strength": 59.77, "away_effective_strength": 52.33, "series_game_number": 2, "top_seed_team": "COL", "top_seed_wins": 0, "bottom_seed_team": "VGK", "bottom_seed_wins": 1 }, "series_impact": { "series_prob_home_now": 0.7641, "series_prob_away_now": 0.2359, "series_prob_home_if_home_wins": 0.8334, "series_prob_away_if_home_wins": 0.1666, "series_prob_home_if_away_wins": 0.5068, "series_prob_away_if_away_wins": 0.4932, "top_seed_team": "COL", "bottom_seed_team": "VGK", "top_seed_host_win_prob": 0.8008, "top_seed_road_win_prob": 0.6662 }, "score_distribution": [ { "home_goals": 3, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.08746 }, { "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.069073 }, { "home_goals": 3, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.062172 }, { "home_goals": 4, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.058464 }, { "home_goals": 4, "away_goals": 3, "probability": 0.054524 }, { "home_goals": 4, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.051743 }, { "home_goals": 5, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.043982 }, { "home_goals": 5, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.038925 } ], "charts": { "home_goal_pmf": [ { "goals": 0, "probability": 0.023251 }, { "goals": 1, "probability": 0.087456 }, { "goals": 2, "probability": 0.164479 }, { "goals": 3, "probability": 0.206225 }, { "goals": 4, "probability": 0.193924 }, { "goals": 5, "probability": 0.145886 }, { "goals": 6, "probability": 0.091456 }, { "goals": 7, "probability": 0.049144 }, { "goals": 8, "probability": 0.023106 } ], "away_goal_pmf": [ { "goals": 0, "probability": 0.17032 }, { "goals": 1, "probability": 0.301479 }, { "goals": 2, "probability": 0.266821 }, { "goals": 3, "probability": 0.157431 }, { "goals": 4, "probability": 0.069666 }, { "goals": 5, "probability": 0.024663 }, { "goals": 6, "probability": 0.007276 }, { "goals": 7, "probability": 0.00184 }, { "goals": 8, "probability": 0.000407 } ] }, "source_mode": "official_scoreboard", "game_center_link": "/gamecenter/vgk-vs-col/2026/05/22/2025030322", "venue": "Ball Arena", "network": [ "ESPN", "CBC", "SN", "TVAS" ] }, { "game_id": 2025030312, "series_id": "ECF", "start_time_utc": "2026-05-23T23:00:00Z", "game_state": "FUT", "date": "2026-05-23", "home_team": "CAR", "away_team": "MTL", "home_team_name": "CAR", "home_win_prob": 0.7319, "away_win_prob": 0.2681, "expected_goals_home": 3.71, "expected_goals_away": 1.75, "expected_total_goals": 5.45, "overtime_prob": 0.1262, "win_breakdown": { "home_regulation": 0.7208, "home_overtime": 0.0923, "away_regulation": 0.1391, "away_overtime": 0.0338 }, "context": { "home_ice_team": "CAR", "home_context_adjustment": 2.5, "away_context_adjustment": 0.0, "sept_e_joueur_applied": false, "home_goalie": { "goalie_name": "Brandon Bussi", "goalie_strength": 48.7, "goalie_sd": 1.05, "sv_pct": 0.89473, "gsaa": -1.76, "injury_status": "healthy", "blend": 0.5 }, "away_goalie": { "goalie_name": "Jakub Dobes", "goalie_strength": 51.3, "goalie_sd": 0.85, "sv_pct": 0.90143, "gsaa": 6.99, "injury_status": "healthy", "blend": 0.5 }, "home_team_strength": 60.38, "away_team_strength": 48.44, "home_effective_strength": 57.04, "away_effective_strength": 49.87, "series_game_number": 2, "top_seed_team": "CAR", "top_seed_wins": 0, "bottom_seed_team": "MTL", "bottom_seed_wins": 0 }, "series_impact": { "series_prob_home_now": 0.8561, "series_prob_away_now": 0.1439, "series_prob_home_if_home_wins": 0.9029, "series_prob_away_if_home_wins": 0.0971, "series_prob_home_if_away_wins": 0.6779, "series_prob_away_if_away_wins": 0.3221, "top_seed_team": "CAR", "bottom_seed_team": "MTL", "top_seed_host_win_prob": 0.7319, "top_seed_road_win_prob": 0.5755 }, "score_distribution": [ { "home_goals": 3, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.088218 }, { "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.071647 }, { "home_goals": 3, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.063502 }, { "home_goals": 4, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.058874 }, { "home_goals": 4, "away_goals": 3, "probability": 0.053477 }, { "home_goals": 4, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.051372 }, { "home_goals": 5, "away_goals": 1, "probability": 0.043666 }, { "home_goals": 5, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.038103 } ], "charts": { "home_goal_pmf": [ { "goals": 0, "probability": 0.024515 }, { "goals": 1, "probability": 0.090912 }, { "goals": 2, "probability": 0.168573 }, { "goals": 3, "probability": 0.208384 }, { "goals": 4, "probability": 0.193197 }, { "goals": 5, "probability": 0.143293 }, { "goals": 6, "probability": 0.088567 }, { "goals": 7, "probability": 0.046921 }, { "goals": 8, "probability": 0.021751 } ], "away_goal_pmf": [ { "goals": 0, "probability": 0.174616 }, { "goals": 1, "probability": 0.304734 }, { "goals": 2, "probability": 0.265906 }, { "goals": 3, "probability": 0.154683 }, { "goals": 4, "probability": 0.067487 }, { "goals": 5, "probability": 0.023555 }, { "goals": 6, "probability": 0.006851 }, { "goals": 7, "probability": 0.001708 }, { "goals": 8, "probability": 0.000373 } ] }, "source_mode": "official_scoreboard", "game_center_link": "/gamecenter/mtl-vs-car/2026/05/23/2025030312", "venue": "Lenovo Center", "network": [ "TNT", "truTV", "HBO MAX", "CBC", "SN", "TVAS" ] }, { "game_id": 2025030323, "series_id": "WCF", "start_time_utc": "2026-05-25T00:00:00Z", "game_state": "FUT", "date": "2026-05-24", "home_team": "VGK", "away_team": "COL", "home_team_name": "VGK", "home_win_prob": 0.2609, "away_win_prob": 0.7391, "expected_goals_home": 1.77, "expected_goals_away": 3.76, "expected_total_goals": 5.53, "overtime_prob": 0.1246, "win_breakdown": { "home_regulation": 0.1381, "home_overtime": 0.0325, "away_regulation": 0.7222, "away_overtime": 0.0921 }, "context": { "home_ice_team": "COL", "home_context_adjustment": 2.5, "away_context_adjustment": 2.5, "sept_e_joueur_applied": false, "home_goalie": { "goalie_name": "Akira Schmid", "goalie_strength": 47.8, "goalie_sd": 1.3, "sv_pct": 0.89254, "gsaa": -2.1, "injury_status": "healthy", "blend": 0.5 }, "away_goalie": { "goalie_name": "Scott Wedgewood", "goalie_strength": 58.0, "goalie_sd": 0.8, "sv_pct": 0.9197, "gsaa": 25.76, "injury_status": "healthy", "blend": 0.5 }, "home_team_strength": 51.86, "away_team_strength": 56.54, "home_effective_strength": 52.33, "away_effective_strength": 59.77, "series_game_number": 3, "top_seed_team": "COL", "top_seed_wins": 0, "bottom_seed_team": "VGK", "bottom_seed_wins": 1 }, "series_impact": { "series_prob_home_now": 0.2359, "series_prob_away_now": 0.7641, "series_prob_home_if_home_wins": 0.506, "series_prob_away_if_home_wins": 0.494, "series_prob_home_if_away_wins": 0.1418, "series_prob_away_if_away_wins": 0.8582, "top_seed_team": "COL", "bottom_seed_team": "VGK", "top_seed_host_win_prob": 0.8008, "top_seed_road_win_prob": 0.6662 }, "score_distribution": [ { "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 3, "probability": 0.08746 }, { "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 2, "probability": 0.069073 }, { "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 3, "probability": 0.062172 }, { "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 4, "probability": 0.058464 }, { "home_goals": 3, "away_goals": 4, "probability": 0.054524 }, { "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 4, "probability": 0.051743 }, { "home_goals": 1, "away_goals": 5, "probability": 0.043982 }, { "home_goals": 2, "away_goals": 5, "probability": 0.038925 } ], "charts": { "home_goal_pmf": [ { "goals": 0, "probability": 0.17032 }, { "goals": 1, "probability": 0.301479 }, { "goals": 2, "probability": 0.266821 }, { "goals": 3, "probability": 0.157431 }, { "goals": 4, "probability": 0.069666 }, { "goals": 5, "probability": 0.024663 }, { "goals": 6, "probability": 0.007276 }, { "goals": 7, "probability": 0.00184 }, { "goals": 8, "probability": 0.000407 } ], "away_goal_pmf": [ { "goals": 0, "probability": 0.023251 }, { "goals": 1, "probability": 0.087456 }, { "goals": 2, "probability": 0.164479 }, { "goals": 3, "probability": 0.206225 }, { "goals": 4, "probability": 0.193924 }, { "goals": 5, "probability": 0.145886 }, { "goals": 6, "probability": 0.091456 }, { "goals": 7, "probability": 0.049144 }, { "goals": 8, "probability": 0.023106 } ] }, "source_mode": "official_scoreboard", "game_center_link": "/gamecenter/col-vs-vgk/2026/05/24/2025030323", "venue": "T-Mobile Arena", "network": [ "ESPN", "CBC", "SN", "TVAS" ] } ] }, "update_summary": { "teams_published": 16, "series_published": 8, "modules": { "goalie_context": "ready", "injury_summary": "empty", "market_snapshot": "ready", "series_context": "ready" }, "publication_policy": "Exports stay descriptive and additive. Missing enrichment modules do not block publication." }, "market_embeds": [ { "label_fr": "Polymarket — Champion de la Coupe Stanley", "label_en": "Polymarket — Stanley Cup Champion", "note_fr": "MarchĂ© de prĂ©diction · Coupe Stanley 2026 · ~2.5M$ de liquiditĂ©", "note_en": "Prediction market · 2026 Stanley Cup · ~$2.5M liquidity", "embed_url": "https://embed.polymarket.com/market?event=2026-nhl-stanley-cup-champion&theme=dark&liveactivity=true", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nhl-stanley-cup-champion" }, { "label_fr": "Polymarket — Champion de l'Est", "label_en": "Polymarket — Eastern Conference Champion", "note_fr": "Qui gagne la ConfĂ©rence Est ?", "note_en": "Who wins the Eastern Conference?", "embed_url": "https://embed.polymarket.com/market?event=nhl-eastern-conference-champion-198&theme=dark&liveactivity=true", "url": "https://polymarket.com/search?q=nhl+eastern+conference+champion+2026" }, { "label_fr": "Polymarket — Champion de l'Ouest", "label_en": "Polymarket — Western Conference Champion", "note_fr": "Qui gagne la ConfĂ©rence Ouest ?", "note_en": "Who wins the Western Conference?", "embed_url": "https://embed.polymarket.com/market?event=nhl-western-conference-champion-865&theme=dark&liveactivity=true", "url": "https://polymarket.com/search?q=nhl+western+conference+champion+2026" } ], "live": { "scoreboard_url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/scoreboard/now" }, "live_scores": { "provider": "NHL API", "mode": "display_only", "scoreboard_url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/scoreboard/now" } }