VoteScope
Resolved special election · April 16

NJ-11 result archive.

This page is now a resolved archive. VoteScope projected Analilia Mejia as the clear favorite before election day, and the district finished in a decisive Democratic hold.

Result archived
Updated
50,000 simulations
VoteScope call
--Pre-election win probability
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Final result vs. projection

How the race ended

The model anchored NJ-11 to its Democratic district baseline and never treated the race as a real toss-up. The final result validated that read.

Archive dashboard

Projection accountability

Projected margin--
Final margin--
Track record status--
Why the model leaned blue

Main pre-election anchors

Sources

Public reference points