Jordan Bardella
President of the National Rally and a member of the European Parliament, Jordan Bardella is the party's rising figure. He is a potential candidate depending on the outcome of Marine Le Pen's legal situation.
Jordan Bardella (Far right (RN)) is a probable candidate in the 2027 French presidential election. Our aggregations test them across 68 candidate configurations, with a first-round voting intention between 16 and 40% depending on the lineup.
In the runoff, in the "Bardella / Melenchon / Zemmour / Glucksmann" lineup, our forecast has them winning against Jean-Luc Melenchon (61.9% to 38.1%). This is our best central estimate for that lineup, within a range of plausible outcomes.
First-round voting intention
Range observed across 68 tested lineups. The marker shows the best lineup.
- Floor
- 16.0%
- Ceiling
- 40.0%
- Best lineup
- 60.6%
- Probability of advancing
- 100%
Runoff matchups
Projected outcome against each opponent, in the most favourable featured lineup.
- ahead vs Jean-Luc Melenchon 61.9% — 38.1%
- ahead vs Gabriel Attal 54.4% — 45.6%
- ahead vs Edouard Philippe 50.4% — 49.6%