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Jordan Bardella

Far right (RN) Probable

President of the National Rally and a member of the European Parliament, Jordan Bardella is the party's rising figure. He is a potential candidate depending on the outcome of Marine Le Pen's legal situation.

Jordan Bardella (Far right (RN)) is a probable candidate in the 2027 French presidential election. Our aggregations test them across 68 candidate configurations, with a first-round voting intention between 16 and 40% depending on the lineup.

In the runoff, in the "Bardella / Melenchon / Zemmour / Glucksmann" lineup, our forecast has them winning against Jean-Luc Melenchon (61.9% to 38.1%). This is our best central estimate for that lineup, within a range of plausible outcomes.

First-round voting intention

Range observed across 68 tested lineups. The marker shows the best lineup.

Floor
16.0%
Ceiling
40.0%
Best lineup
60.6%
Probability of advancing
100%

Runoff matchups

Projected outcome against each opponent, in the most favourable featured lineup.