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Jean-Luc Melenchon

Radical left (LFI) Declared

Founder of La France Insoumise, Jean-Luc Mélenchon ran for president in 2012, 2017 and 2022, narrowly missing the runoff in the latter. He declared his 2027 candidacy in May 2026.

Jean-Luc Melenchon (Radical left (LFI)) is an officially declared candidate in the 2027 French presidential election. Our aggregations test them across 135 candidate configurations, with a first-round voting intention between 8 and 20% depending on the lineup.

In the runoff, in the "Philippe / Melenchon / Roussel / Zemmour" lineup, our forecast has them losing against Edouard Philippe (38.8% to 61.2%). This is our best central estimate for that lineup, within a range of plausible outcomes.

First-round voting intention

Range observed across 135 tested lineups. The marker shows the best lineup.

Floor
8.0%
Ceiling
20.0%
Best lineup
29.9%
Probability of advancing
100%

Runoff matchups

Projected outcome against each opponent, in the most favourable featured lineup.