Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Founder of La France Insoumise, Jean-Luc Mélenchon ran for president in 2012, 2017 and 2022, narrowly missing the runoff in the latter. He declared his 2027 candidacy in May 2026.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon (Radical left (LFI)) is an officially declared candidate in the 2027 French presidential election. Our aggregations test them across 9 candidate configurations, with a first-round voting intention between 8 and 20% depending on the lineup.
In the runoff, in the "Le Pen vs Attal" lineup, our forecast has them losing against Marine Le Pen (34.6% to 65.4%). This is our best central estimate for that lineup, within a range of plausible outcomes.
First-round voting intention
Range observed across 9 tested lineups. The marker shows the best lineup.
- Floor
- 8.0%
- Ceiling
- 20.0%
- Best lineup
- 17.9%
- Probability of advancing
- 69%
Runoff matchups
Projected outcome against each opponent, in the most favourable featured lineup.
- behind vs Marine Le Pen 34.6% — 65.4%