The books behind the models.
Everything Vote-Scope does — house effects, simulations, confidence intervals — someone wrote a great book about first. This is the shelf.
Want to understand why the model thinks the way it does?
Forecasting & statistics
Start here.
The Signal and the Noise
The book that made election forecasting mainstream. Why most predictions fail — and what separates signal from noise.
Superforecasting
What 20 years of forecasting tournaments teach about who actually predicts well, and how. The intellectual backbone of our Track Record page.
Thinking, Fast and Slow
Why your gut reads polls wrong. Every bias our model corrects for, Kahneman documented first.
The Art of Statistics
The most readable introduction to how statistics actually work — confidence intervals included. If you read one book to understand this site, read this one.
Soccermatics
Football through the eyes of a mathematician — the same toolkit behind our WC2026 simulations, explained with actual matches.
Storytelling with Data
How we think about every chart on this site: strip the noise, keep the story.
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The locker room · World Cup 2026
For the tournament.
Panini 2026 sticker album
The analog forecasting experience: 48 teams, zero confidence intervals, pure hope.
Your team's 2026 jersey
Wear your bracket. Whatever the model says about your team, the jersey doesn't care.
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