Sports Scope
Who has the cleanest path, and who is riding a fragile streak?
A sportier desk for playoff paths, goalie volatility, live scores, market checks, and tournament chaos.
MLB 2026 · live desk · nightly run
🍺 Milwaukee Brewers lead the World Series race at 22.1%.
All 30 teams, 10,000 simulations a night — playoffs, division, pennant and championship odds. Canadian check: the Toronto Blue Jays sit at 18.9% to make the playoffs.
World Cup 2026 · complete · July 19
Spain are world champions.
Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time. The archive preserves the whole model record: Spain opened first at 7.36%, while the last pre-final update narrowly preferred Argentina 53.59–46.41.
Sports track record
Model history.
NHL playoff simulations and series calls — every model run, every published prediction, tracked.
2026 international football tournament
🇪🇸 Spain — 2026 world champions
Final: Spain 1–0 Argentina after extra time · opening and pre-final model snapshots archived.
NHL — 2025-26 season complete
Carolina Hurricanes: 2026 Stanley Cup champions.
Runner-up: Anaheim Ducks. The desk and the full model track record remain open — NHL instruments return at training camp.
Sports market pulse
The market sees the same game. The model sees the path.
Polymarket and Kalshi odds run alongside the model as an independent benchmark. Where they agree, the signal is strong. Where they diverge, that gap is the story.
Prediction-market data is shown as a benchmark only. Model and market are updated on independent cadences.
In this desk
Everything this desk publishes.
- MLB 2026
The World Series race, rerun nightly.
- NHL
Playoff paths and goalie volatility, season by season.
- World Cup 2026
Archive: what the model saw before Spain lifted the trophy.
- Sports track record
Every sports call the model made, scored after the fact.
Methodology after the signal
Three sports desks. One standard.
MLB, World Cup and NHL share the same Monte Carlo discipline: outcomes are simulated thousands of times per run, conditioned on real results as the season unfolds.
- MLB 2026: 30 teams, 10,000 nightly simulations — pythagenpat strength and log5 matchups over every remaining game, data from the MLB Stats API.
- World Cup 2026: 48 teams, 50,000 simulations conditioned on real results (FIFA rankings, recent form, home advantage), updated after every match through the final.
- NHL Cup Path: 50,000 simulations per playoff round, updated after each series result. Goalie volatility layer conditions on recent save percentage and injury status.
- Track record is public: every published model run and series call is archived and verifiable.
- Model outputs are available as public JSON at each desk, updated on a rolling basis.