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Edouard Philippe

Centre-right (Horizons) Declared

A former prime minister (2017-2020) and founder of the Horizons party, Édouard Philippe is mayor of Le Havre. He was among the first major declared candidates for 2027 (September 2024), occupying the political centre.

Edouard Philippe (Centre-right (Horizons)) is an officially declared candidate in the 2027 French presidential election. Our aggregations test them across 85 candidate configurations, with a first-round voting intention between 12 and 30% depending on the lineup.

In the runoff, in the "Philippe / Melenchon / Roussel / Zemmour" lineup, our forecast has them winning against Jean-Luc Melenchon (61.2% to 38.8%). This is our best central estimate for that lineup, within a range of plausible outcomes.

First-round voting intention

Range observed across 85 tested lineups. The marker shows the best lineup.

Floor
12.0%
Ceiling
30.0%
Best lineup
28.3%
Probability of advancing
99%

Runoff matchups

Projected outcome against each opponent, in the most favourable featured lineup.