Monday, November 2, 2026
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What if the polls moved in Canada?

Move the national or regional vote and see all 343 ridings respond.

Personal scenario · starting from the forecast of November 2, 2026 · Canada · 343 ridings

Personal scenario

Move the numbers

Nudge a party and watch the seats follow. Everything runs on your device.

172 seats = majority

  • Liberal230—
  • Conservative80—
  • Bloc Quebecois22—
  • NDP9—
  • Green2—
  • PPC0—
  • 46.8 %
  • 30.4 %
  • 6.1 %
  • 11.2 %
  • 2.7 %
  • 2.7 %

Total100.0 %

Sliders at rest: you are seeing exactly the projection from November 2, 2026. Each slider's travel matches what the model considers plausible.

This is not the model. It is a shortcut anchored on today's projection: at rest it shows exactly our published numbers, and it drifts further the harder you push. For a real projection, see the main page.

Riding map in your scenario

LiberalConservativeBloc QuebecoisNDPGreenPPC

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Who holds what, in your scenario

Liberal

230—
  1. Kamloops--Thompson--Nicola0.1
  2. Richmond Hill South0.2
  3. Central Newfoundland0.2
  4. Elgin--St. Thomas--London South0.4
  5. Sudbury East--Manitoulin--Nickel Belt0.7
  6. Wellington--Halton Hills North1.1
  7. Barrie--Springwater--Oro-Medonte1.1
  8. Lethbridge1.2
  9. Saint John--St. Croix1.2
  10. Terrebonne1.6
  11. Longueuil--Saint-Hubert1.8
  12. Leeds--Grenville--Thousand Islands--Rideau Lakes3.0
  13. Oshawa3.1
  14. Long Range Mountains3.5
  15. Lanark--Frontenac3.8
  16. Bowmanville--Oshawa North4.0
  17. Niagara Falls--Niagara-on-the-Lake4.0
  18. Abbotsford--South Langley4.1
  19. Vernon--Lake Country--Monashee4.2
  20. Langley Township--Fraser Heights4.3
  21. Niagara South4.5
  22. Markham--Unionville4.6
  23. Beauport--Limoilou4.7
  24. Vancouver Kingsway4.7
  25. Newmarket--Aurora4.7
  26. Okanagan Lake West--South Kelowna4.9
  27. Les Pays-d'en-Haut5.1
  28. Simcoe North5.1
  29. St. Albert--Sturgeon River5.4
  30. Northumberland--Clarke5.7
  31. Calgary East6.0
  32. Cambridge6.1
  33. Brampton West6.2
  34. Hamilton East--Stoney Creek6.3
  35. Kitchener South--Hespeler6.8
  36. Abitibi--Baie-James--Nunavik--Eeyou7.1
  37. Nanaimo--Ladysmith7.2
  38. Similkameen--South Okanagan--West Kootenay7.3
  39. Calgary Heritage7.7
  40. Nunavut8.0
  41. Windsor--Tecumseh--Lakeshore8.1
  42. Mount Royal8.1
  43. Milton East--Halton Hills South8.5
  44. La Prairie--Atateken9.1
  45. Kitchener--Conestoga9.4
  46. Richmond Centre--Marpole9.5
  47. Brampton Centre10.2
  48. Brampton North--Caledon10.3
  49. Acadie--Annapolis10.4
  50. Miramichi--Grand Lake10.4
  51. Brampton South10.5
  52. Eglinton--Lawrence10.6
  53. Calgary Signal Hill10.7
  54. Sault Ste. Marie--Algoma11.1
  55. Calgary Nose Hill11.3
  56. Pitt Meadows--Maple Ridge11.6
  57. Terra Nova--The Peninsulas11.7
  58. Cloverdale--Langley City11.7
  59. Mont-Saint-Bruno--L'Acadie11.8
  60. Nipissing--Timiskaming12.3
  61. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles12.5
  62. Trois-Rivières12.6
  63. Brampton East12.6
  64. Winnipeg Centre12.8
  65. New Westminster--Burnaby--Maillardville13.0
  66. Calgary Crowfoot13.0
  67. Thérèse-De Blainville13.2
  68. Brampton--Chinguacousy Park13.4
  69. Hamilton Mountain13.6
  70. Kelowna14.0
  71. Bay of Quinte14.0
  72. Québec Centre14.1
  73. Thunder Bay--Rainy River14.3
  74. Cumberland--Colchester14.3
  75. Laval--Les Îles14.6
  76. Mississauga East--Cooksville14.6
  77. Carleton14.7
  78. Saskatoon South15.0
  79. Markham--Stouffville15.1
  80. Chicoutimi--Le Fjord15.2
  81. Oakville East15.2
  82. Châteauguay--Les Jardins-de-Napierville15.5
  83. Mississauga--Streetsville15.5
  84. Hamilton Centre15.6
  85. Regina--Lewvan16.4
  86. Saskatoon--University16.4
  87. Richmond East--Steveston16.7
  88. Regina--Wascana17.0
  89. Mississauga--Lakeshore17.2
  90. Calgary Skyview17.3
  91. Burlington North--Milton West17.4
  92. Oakville West17.4
  93. Fleetwood--Port Kells17.5
  94. Edmonton Manning17.8
  95. Whitby17.9
  96. Compton--Stanstead18.8
  97. Willowdale18.8
  98. Hochelaga--Rosemont-Est18.9
  99. Etobicoke Centre19.0
  100. South Surrey--White Rock19.2
  101. Brome--Missisquoi19.4
  102. Edmonton Northwest19.7
  103. Coquitlam--Port Coquitlam19.7
  104. Argenteuil--La Petite-Nation19.9
  105. Surrey Centre20.0
  106. Mississauga--Malton20.3
  107. Port Moody--Coquitlam20.4
  108. Don Valley North20.5
  109. Egmont20.6
  110. Surrey Newton20.6
  111. Cape Breton--Canso--Antigonish20.8
  112. Edmonton Southeast21.0
  113. Burnaby Central21.1
  114. Scarborough--Agincourt21.1
  115. Mississauga Centre21.4
  116. Central Nova21.6
  117. St. Catharines21.6
  118. Etobicoke North21.7
  119. Peterborough22.1
  120. Longueuil--Charles-LeMoyne22.4
  121. Pickering--Brooklin22.4
  122. Sudbury22.4
  123. Edmonton Gateway22.4
  124. Kildonan--St. Paul22.6
  125. Edmonton West22.6
  126. Labrador22.7
  127. Markham--Thornhill23.4
  128. Saint-Maurice--Champlain23.4
  129. Delta23.5
  130. Pontiac--Kitigan Zibi23.8
  131. Sherbrooke24.2
  132. Burlington24.5
  133. Prescott--Russell--Cumberland24.7
  134. Mississauga--Erin Mills25.2
  135. Vimy25.2
  136. Pierrefonds--Dollard26.0
  137. South Shore--St. Margarets26.6
  138. York South--Weston--Etobicoke27.1
  139. Ajax27.1
  140. Saint-Laurent27.2
  141. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin27.4
  142. Yukon27.8
  143. Madawaska--Restigouche28.4
  144. Etobicoke--Lakeshore28.6
  145. London West29.1
  146. Churchill--Keewatinook Aski29.1
  147. Edmonton Riverbend29.2
  148. Scarborough Centre--Don Valley East29.3
  149. LaSalle--Émard--Verdun29.4
  150. Sydney--Glace Bay29.6
  151. Calgary Centre29.7
  152. Hamilton West--Ancaster--Dundas29.7
  153. Alfred-Pellan29.8
  154. Thunder Bay--Superior North29.8
  155. Vaudreuil30.9
  156. Humber River--Black Creek31.0
  157. Calgary McKnight31.5
  158. Louis-Hébert31.9
  159. Vancouver Fraserview--South Burnaby32.8
  160. Cardigan33.0
  161. Malpeque33.5
  162. Guelph34.3
  163. Saint John--Kennebecasis34.4
  164. Northwest Territories34.5
  165. Honoré-Mercier34.6
  166. Laurier--Sainte-Marie34.6
  167. Esquimalt--Saanich--Sooke34.8
  168. Dorval--Lachine--LaSalle34.9
  169. Kanata35.2
  170. Avalon35.5
  171. Calgary Confederation36.4
  172. Papineau36.5
  173. Beaches--East York36.7
  174. London Centre36.8
  175. Scarborough--Woburn37.1
  176. Gatineau37.6
  177. Waterloo37.9
  178. Taiaiako'n--Parkdale--High Park38.6
  179. Winnipeg West38.9
  180. Bourassa39.0
  181. Brossard--Saint-Lambert39.0
  182. Outremont39.4
  183. Toronto--St. Paul's39.5
  184. Don Valley West40.0
  185. Lac-Saint-Louis40.1
  186. Scarborough North40.7
  187. Nepean40.9
  188. Saint-Léonard--Saint-Michel40.9
  189. Victoria41.0
  190. Kings--Hants41.0
  191. Beauséjour41.1
  192. Burnaby North--Seymour41.4
  193. Ville-Marie--Le Sud-Ouest--Île-des-Soeurs41.4
  194. Vancouver Centre41.5
  195. Hull--Aylmer41.5
  196. Spadina--Harbourfront41.6
  197. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce--Westmount41.7
  198. Ahuntsic-Cartierville42.6
  199. Sackville--Bedford--Preston42.6
  200. Fredericton--Oromocto42.9
  201. Scarborough--Guildwood--Rouge Park43.0
  202. North Vancouver--Capilano43.1
  203. Kingston and the Islands43.2
  204. Edmonton Centre44.0
  205. West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country44.5
  206. Davenport45.0
  207. Moncton--Dieppe45.9
  208. Ottawa Centre47.9
  209. Vancouver Quadra48.8
  210. Ottawa West--Nepean49.4
  211. Winnipeg South49.7
  212. Winnipeg North49.9
  213. Charlottetown50.3
  214. Vancouver Granville50.6
  215. Ottawa South50.8
  216. Orléans50.8
  217. St. John's East52.0
  218. St. Boniface--St. Vital52.6
  219. University--Rosedale52.9
  220. Halifax West53.7
  221. Halifax54.2
  222. Acadie--Bathurst57.1
  223. Toronto Centre57.2
  224. Cape Spear57.9
  225. Scarborough Southwest58.6
  226. Toronto--Danforth60.1
  227. Ottawa--Vanier--Gloucester60.4
  228. Dartmouth--Cole Harbour61.5
  229. Winnipeg South Centre63.3
  230. Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River69.7

Conservative

80—
  1. Simcoe--Grey0.4
  2. Niagara West0.5
  3. Windsor West0.7
  4. Calgary Midnapore0.9
  5. Parry Sound--Muskoka1.3
  6. Montmorency--Charlevoix1.4
  7. Kapuskasing--Timmins--Mushkegowuk1.7
  8. Kamloops--Shuswap--Central Rockies1.9
  9. Flamborough--Glanbrook--Brant North2.2
  10. Middlesex--London2.3
  11. Saskatoon West2.6
  12. Fundy Royal2.7
  13. London--Fanshawe3.0
  14. Richmond--Arthabaska3.0
  15. Huron--Bruce3.5
  16. York Centre3.8
  17. Aurora--Oak Ridges--Richmond Hill4.1
  18. Brantford--Brant South--Six Nations4.2
  19. Perth--Wellington4.3
  20. Calgary Shepard5.0
  21. Bruce--Grey--Owen Sound5.1
  22. Sherwood Park--Fort Saskatchewan5.3
  23. Kenora--Kiiwetinoong6.0
  24. Hastings--Lennox and Addington--Tyendinaga6.1
  25. Mission--Matsqui--Abbotsford8.0
  26. Charlesbourg--Haute-Saint-Charles8.0
  27. York--Durham8.3
  28. Oxford8.6
  29. Sarnia--Lambton--Bkejwanong8.7
  30. Chilliwack--Hope8.8
  31. Stormont--Dundas--Glengarry9.0
  32. Haliburton--Kawartha Lakes10.3
  33. Algonquin--Renfrew--Pembroke10.6
  34. Yellowhead10.8
  35. Selkirk--Interlake--Eastman11.5
  36. Louis-Saint-Laurent--Akiawenhrahk11.8
  37. Barrie South--Innisfil12.5
  38. Tobique--Mactaquac13.0
  39. Columbia--Kootenay--Southern Rockies13.0
  40. Haldimand--Norfolk14.1
  41. Vaughan--Woodbridge14.6
  42. Essex14.6
  43. Regina--Qu'Appelle14.8
  44. New Tecumseth--Gwillimbury15.0
  45. Côte-du-Sud-Rivière-du-Loup-Kataskomiq-Témiscouata15.2
  46. Chatham-Kent--Leamington15.3
  47. Airdrie--Cochrane15.3
  48. Lévis--Lotbinière17.9
  49. Dufferin--Caledon18.0
  50. King--Vaughan18.4
  51. Brandon--Souris19.4
  52. Portneuf--Jacques-Cartier19.8
  53. Bellechasse--Les Etchemins--Lévis20.1
  54. Provencher20.4
  55. Cariboo--Prince George21.4
  56. Red Deer23.9
  57. Portage--Lisgar26.9
  58. Thornhill27.7
  59. Riding Mountain30.0
  60. Foothills32.8
  61. Parkland33.2
  62. Leduc--Wetaskiwin33.9
  63. Medicine Hat--Cardston--Warner35.1
  64. Mégantic--L'Érable--Lotbinière36.0
  65. Prince Albert38.2
  66. Bow River38.3
  67. Beauce38.9
  68. Moose Jaw--Lake Centre--Lanigan41.2
  69. Fort McMurray--Cold Lake42.2
  70. Battlefords--Lloydminster--Meadow Lake42.5
  71. Peace River--Westlock45.2
  72. Prince George--Peace River--Northern Rockies45.2
  73. Carlton Trail--Eagle Creek46.4
  74. Lakeland46.5
  75. Grande Prairie48.1
  76. Battle River--Crowfoot48.7
  77. Yorkton--Melville49.8
  78. Swift Current--Grasslands--Kindersley59.1
  79. Souris--Moose Mountain62.5
  80. Ponoka--Didsbury69.6

Bloc Quebecois

22—
  1. Shefford0.8
  2. Repentigny2.9
  3. La Pointe-de-l'Île4.5
  4. Mirabel5.7
  5. Gaspésie--Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine--Listuguj6.6
  6. Berthier--Maskinongé6.6
  7. Pierre-Boucher--Les Patriotes--Verchères6.7
  8. Jonquière8.5
  9. Laurentides--Labelle8.9
  10. Saint-Jean9.3
  11. Saint-Hyacinthe--Bagot--Acton9.5
  12. Rimouski--La Matapédia10.1
  13. Beauharnois--Salaberry--Soulanges--Huntingdon10.5
  14. Rivière-du-Nord11.3
  15. Beloeil--Chambly12.8
  16. Drummond13.3
  17. Côte-Nord--Kawawachikamach--Nitassinan14.8
  18. Joliette--Manawan16.8
  19. Bécancour--Nicolet--Saurel--Alnôbak18.2
  20. Montcalm18.3
  21. Lac-Saint-Jean18.5
  22. Abitibi--Témiscamingue20.9

NDP

9—
  1. Cowichan--Malahat--Langford0.5
  2. Skeena--Bulkley Valley0.8
  3. Edmonton Griesbach1.3
  4. North Island--Powell River1.6
  5. Elmwood--Transcona2.0
  6. Vancouver East3.1
  7. Rosemont--La Petite-Patrie10.9
  8. Courtenay--Alberni12.6
  9. Edmonton Strathcona14.1

Green

2—
  1. Saanich--Gulf Islands4.1
  2. Kitchener Centre6.1

PPC

0—

—

How to read it

The map shows the winner of every riding in your scenario. Seats remain an approximation anchored to the published forecast; moving a slider does not rerun the full model.

The editorial rule

Your scenario remains separate from the Vote-Scope projection. It is never stored as a new forecast and never changes site data.