Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

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What if the polls moved in the U.S.?

Move the national or regional vote and see all 435 districts respond.

Personal scenario · starting from the forecast of November 2, 2026 · United States · 435 districts

Personal scenario

Move the numbers

Nudge a party and watch the seats follow. Everything runs on your device.

218 seats = majority

  • Democratic241—
  • Republican194—
  • 55.0 %
  • 44.8 %

Total100.0 %Other parties 0.2 %

Sliders at rest: you are seeing exactly the projection from November 2, 2026. Each slider's travel matches what the model considers plausible.

This is not the model. It is a shortcut anchored on today's projection: at rest it shows exactly our published numbers, and it drifts further the harder you push. For a real projection, see the main page.

Riding map in your scenario

DemocraticRepublican

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Who holds what, in your scenario

Democratic

241—
  1. TX-350.0
  2. WI-10.1
  3. KY-60.2
  4. MO-20.4
  5. TX-150.6
  6. FL-90.8
  7. FL-220.8
  8. ME-20.9
  9. AZ-21.0
  10. MT-11.0
  11. NY-11.7
  12. IA-22.0
  13. FL-253.0
  14. CO-33.3
  15. NC-113.6
  16. NC-13.9
  17. MI-104.3
  18. NY-174.4
  19. NJ-74.8
  20. VA-24.9
  21. PA-105.4
  22. MI-75.5
  23. IA-35.6
  24. PA-86.2
  25. WI-36.4
  26. CO-86.5
  27. AZ-16.6
  28. OH-96.6
  29. AZ-66.7
  30. FL-146.8
  31. TX-347.0
  32. PA-77.4
  33. CA-227.8
  34. OH-18.0
  35. IA-18.7
  36. WA-310.0
  37. CA-4811.2
  38. NH-111.5
  39. NM-212.8
  40. TX-2813.8
  41. NE-214.4
  42. NY-1914.6
  43. CT-514.8
  44. MN-214.9
  45. CA-4515.2
  46. VA-715.2
  47. NV-315.4
  48. OR-515.7
  49. CA-1316.8
  50. VA-1017.2
  51. OH-1317.4
  52. NJ-917.9
  53. NY-417.9
  54. NH-217.9
  55. IL-818.2
  56. MD-618.6
  57. NY-318.9
  58. OR-619.0
  59. MI-819.3
  60. CA-2119.4
  61. AZ-419.7
  62. PA-1719.8
  63. CA-620.0
  64. NV-120.1
  65. WA-820.2
  66. OR-420.3
  67. IL-620.4
  68. NV-420.6
  69. CA-2720.8
  70. IN-120.8
  71. IL-1721.0
  72. NJ-321.1
  73. NY-1821.1
  74. CA-121.2
  75. CA-4721.2
  76. CA-4921.6
  77. CA-321.8
  78. NM-322.0
  79. IL-1422.2
  80. NY-2222.4
  81. MI-322.4
  82. CA-3823.2
  83. IL-1123.2
  84. KS-323.3
  85. CA-3123.4
  86. NM-123.4
  87. NJ-523.8
  88. PA-624.0
  89. GA-224.2
  90. PA-1224.4
  91. RI-224.4
  92. CA-3524.6
  93. CA-3924.6
  94. MA-924.7
  95. FL-2324.8
  96. MA-124.8
  97. NJ-1125.2
  98. WA-625.2
  99. CA-4125.8
  100. CA-2526.4
  101. CA-2626.4
  102. CA-4226.4
  103. CO-726.4
  104. CA-727.2
  105. CA-5127.2
  106. DE-AL27.2
  107. MI-1127.3
  108. CT-227.6
  109. NY-2527.7
  110. CA-427.8
  111. IL-1327.8
  112. NJ-627.9
  113. CA-928.0
  114. MN-328.4
  115. WA-1028.8
  116. CA-5029.2
  117. PA-429.6
  118. CA-3329.7
  119. NJ-129.9
  120. MA-430.0
  121. MD-230.7
  122. MA-331.0
  123. MA-631.0
  124. TX-1631.0
  125. CT-331.2
  126. IL-1031.4
  127. CT-132.1
  128. CO-632.6
  129. ME-132.8
  130. AL-732.8
  131. NY-2033.0
  132. MD-333.5
  133. CA-234.0
  134. NJ-1234.7
  135. SC-634.9
  136. KY-335.2
  137. MO-535.2
  138. MS-235.3
  139. CA-4635.4
  140. CT-435.6
  141. TX-735.8
  142. NY-636.0
  143. CA-2436.6
  144. NJ-836.6
  145. FL-1036.8
  146. MA-237.2
  147. WA-137.6
  148. IL-437.7
  149. CA-3237.8
  150. AZ-738.0
  151. RI-138.2
  152. CA-2838.6
  153. UT-138.8
  154. MI-639.0
  155. TX-2039.0
  156. WA-239.2
  157. VT-AL39.2
  158. CA-1839.4
  159. NY-2640.0
  160. CA-5240.3
  161. PA-541.6
  162. IL-142.8
  163. NY-1443.4
  164. TX-3343.6
  165. CA-1043.8
  166. IL-244.2
  167. MD-544.4
  168. VA-1145.0
  169. HI-245.5
  170. IL-345.6
  171. MN-445.6
  172. NY-745.8
  173. VA-445.9
  174. NC-246.2
  175. CA-3046.4
  176. CA-1446.6
  177. TX-2946.6
  178. CA-1747.2
  179. FL-2047.2
  180. IL-947.4
  181. CA-848.2
  182. CA-3648.6
  183. CA-2948.8
  184. IL-548.8
  185. CA-1949.4
  186. FL-2449.6
  187. MA-850.8
  188. VA-350.8
  189. WI-251.0
  190. CO-251.3
  191. IN-751.3
  192. NY-1651.5
  193. HI-151.6
  194. MI-1352.1
  195. OH-352.2
  196. OR-152.3
  197. WA-953.0
  198. GA-1353.2
  199. PA-253.6
  200. OR-354.4
  201. CA-4455.0
  202. MI-1256.2
  203. AZ-356.3
  204. CA-1556.8
  205. NC-457.0
  206. TX-3057.2
  207. NY-557.8
  208. MA-558.0
  209. NC-1258.0
  210. VA-858.8
  211. CA-1659.8
  212. GA-659.8
  213. NY-960.0
  214. CA-4360.8
  215. MN-560.8
  216. NY-861.4
  217. GA-461.6
  218. NY-1363.2
  219. CA-3463.4
  220. NY-1563.7
  221. NJ-1064.1
  222. WI-464.2
  223. TX-1864.2
  224. NY-1065.1
  225. LA-267.4
  226. TX-3767.8
  227. MD-868.1
  228. CO-168.2
  229. MO-168.9
  230. OH-1170.0
  231. NY-1270.1
  232. MA-770.2
  233. CA-3771.8
  234. MD-774.8
  235. IL-776.4
  236. WA-778.2
  237. CA-1180.0
  238. GA-581.0
  239. CA-1286.6
  240. MD-486.8
  241. PA-399.6

Republican

194—
  1. FL-130.6
  2. VA-10.8
  3. MI-41.0
  4. CA-401.2
  5. CO-51.2
  6. FL-71.2
  7. OH-151.2
  8. TX-231.6
  9. PA-11.8
  10. CO-42.2
  11. FL-162.2
  12. AL-22.4
  13. AZ-82.4
  14. NC-32.6
  15. SC-12.7
  16. NV-23.0
  17. MN-13.4
  18. NY-23.4
  19. VA-53.6
  20. FL-113.6
  21. FL-44.0
  22. WI-84.2
  23. GA-14.4
  24. AR-24.8
  25. OH-74.8
  26. NY-215.2
  27. MN-85.4
  28. NE-15.4
  29. NC-145.6
  30. IN-55.8
  31. NC-66.0
  32. OH-86.0
  33. OH-106.0
  34. NC-76.2
  35. NC-136.2
  36. KS-26.8
  37. NC-97.2
  38. FL-187.4
  39. FL-277.4
  40. NJ-27.4
  41. TX-97.6
  42. FL-88.0
  43. NC-58.2
  44. TX-328.2
  45. NC-88.4
  46. TX-388.4
  47. AZ-58.6
  48. SC-28.6
  49. WA-48.8
  50. FL-29.0
  51. TX-109.0
  52. GA-109.2
  53. TN-99.2
  54. GA-119.4
  55. TX-229.4
  56. TN-59.5
  57. OK-59.6
  58. TN-79.6
  59. NC-109.8
  60. TX-219.8
  61. TX-249.8
  62. FL-1510.0
  63. GA-1210.0
  64. FL-1210.2
  65. WA-510.2
  66. TX-210.6
  67. TX-510.6
  68. MI-110.7
  69. LA-610.8
  70. NY-1111.1
  71. SC-511.2
  72. TX-2711.2
  73. WI-711.2
  74. CA-2311.6
  75. IL-1611.6
  76. NY-2411.6
  77. MD-111.7
  78. AK-AL11.9
  79. SC-411.9
  80. FL-312.4
  81. FL-2112.4
  82. TX-312.4
  83. WI-612.4
  84. TX-2512.6
  85. FL-2612.8
  86. GA-712.8
  87. NY-2312.8
  88. TX-1412.8
  89. TX-1713.2
  90. OK-113.6
  91. TN-414.0
  92. MN-614.2
  93. TN-814.4
  94. TX-614.4
  95. CA-514.6
  96. FL-1714.6
  97. MO-314.6
  98. PA-1115.0
  99. TN-615.2
  100. FL-515.4
  101. TX-815.6
  102. TX-3615.8
  103. UT-215.8
  104. TX-2616.0
  105. TX-3116.0
  106. GA-1416.2
  107. PA-1616.2
  108. TX-417.2
  109. TX-1217.2
  110. SC-717.4
  111. IN-217.5
  112. AL-517.8
  113. FL-1917.8
  114. GA-317.8
  115. OH-517.8
  116. WI-517.8
  117. ID-218.0
  118. MS-318.0
  119. OH-1418.0
  120. FL-2818.2
  121. FL-618.4
  122. KS-419.0
  123. AZ-919.4
  124. UT-419.4
  125. SD-AL19.8
  126. IA-420.0
  127. OR-220.4
  128. CA-2020.6
  129. MT-220.9
  130. IN-921.1
  131. AR-321.4
  132. VA-621.6
  133. IN-621.6
  134. MI-522.0
  135. PA-1422.0
  136. LA-422.4
  137. OH-1222.4
  138. MI-222.8
  139. IN-322.9
  140. IN-423.2
  141. TX-1123.2
  142. OH-623.4
  143. AL-124.2
  144. TN-324.4
  145. NJ-424.6
  146. AL-624.8
  147. KY-424.8
  148. FL-125.4
  149. OK-426.3
  150. GA-826.4
  151. MI-926.6
  152. GA-926.8
  153. KS-127.0
  154. TN-227.0
  155. IN-827.8
  156. MS-128.2
  157. IL-1529.0
  158. LA-329.2
  159. WV-129.4
  160. MN-729.6
  161. PA-929.6
  162. UT-329.6
  163. WV-230.0
  164. OH-230.2
  165. WY-AL30.7
  166. LA-531.0
  167. ID-131.2
  168. PA-1531.4
  169. OH-431.6
  170. MO-632.3
  171. MO-433.2
  172. VA-933.6
  173. MO-733.8
  174. AR-434.2
  175. KY-234.6
  176. TX-1334.6
  177. AL-334.8
  178. SC-335.6
  179. MS-436.2
  180. IL-1236.6
  181. PA-1336.8
  182. ND-AL36.9
  183. TX-137.6
  184. KY-137.7
  185. AR-138.1
  186. LA-138.8
  187. TX-1939.2
  188. OK-241.8
  189. OK-342.2
  190. MO-842.8
  191. TN-148.2
  192. NE-348.8
  193. KY-552.6
  194. AL-453.2

How to read it

The map shows the winner of every riding in your scenario. Seats remain an approximation anchored to the published forecast; moving a slider does not rerun the full model.

The editorial rule

Your scenario remains separate from the Vote-Scope projection. It is never stored as a new forecast and never changes site data.