World Cup 2026 · the story so far

🇪🇸 Spain has one match left.

Spain survived a field of 48 and reached the final against Argentina. The model now gives them a 46.41% chance to finish the job.

2-1-0Group record
5–0Goals
46.41%Current title chance

The story · Finalist; final against Argentina scheduled for July 19

Spain began with one of the tournament’s surprises, a 0-0 draw against Cape Verde despite taking 27 shots. It immediately corrected its inefficiency with a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia, then won Group H by beating Uruguay 1-0 through Álex Baena. In the round of 32, Spain dominated Austria 3-0. Its round-of-16 match against Portugal remained tight until Mikel Merino scored in the 91st minute. Spain eliminated Belgium 2-1 in the quarter-final, the only match in which it conceded. It then beat France 2-0 in the semi-final: Mikel Oyarzabal converted a penalty won by Lamine Yamal, and Pedro Porro scored the second. As of July 15, Spain was a finalist with six wins and one draw, thirteen goals scored, only one conceded and six clean sheets. It was due to face Argentina on July 19 in East Rutherford. According to AP, Spain’s unbeaten run had reached 37 matches. The campaign combined three victories by at least two goals, two 1-0 wins secured very late or in tight matches, and a controlled semi-final against France.

From the tournament notebook

In 2007, Lionel Messi posed with Lamine Yamal, then a baby, during a UNICEF charity photo shoot; they were now due to face each other in the final.

Sources ↗

Tournament journey

  1. Group stage
    Spain 0–0 Cabo Verde

    Draw

  2. Group stage
    Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia

    Win

  3. Group stage
    Spain 1–0 Uruguay

    Win

  4. Round of 32
    Spain 3–0 Austria

    Win

  5. Round of 16
    Spain 1–0 Portugal

    Win

  6. Quarter-final
    Spain 2–1 Belgium

    Win

  7. Semi-final
    Spain 2–0 France

    Win

  8. Final
    Spain Argentina

    Next

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