Latino electorate
20% · official28.3
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House · #12
AZ-2
Competitiveness · Recent movement
Index41.9/100
Model favoriteRep. 57%
Latino CVAP14.2%
7-day move-38.8
Index breakdown
Index breakdown
Competitiveness
20% · model86.8
Flip probability
15% · model43.4
Candidate representation
15% · no verified candidate in registry0.0
Control importance
10% · model0.0
Recent movement
10% · model100.0
Likely mobilization
10% · official; state estimate23.8
Race history