Latino electorate
20% · official42.4
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House · #14
AZ-6
Flip probability · Candidate representation
Index40.0/100
Model favoriteDem. 100%
Latino CVAP21.2%
7-day move+5.4
Index breakdown
Index breakdown
Competitiveness
20% · model0.0
Flip probability
15% · model100.0
Candidate representation
15% · reviewed70.0
Control importance
10% · model0.0
Recent movement
10% · model36.0
Likely mobilization
10% · official; state estimate23.8
Race history