House · #20

CA-21

Latino electorate · Candidate representation

Index42/100

Favourite and chance of winningDem. 99%

Latino citizens of voting age57%

7-day change+0.2

Chance of winning in our projection, not a vote share. Latino share of citizens of voting age (18 and over), from the Census. Not registered voters, not actual voters.

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official

100

Competitiveness

20% · model

Flip probability

15% · model

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed

100

Control importance

10% · model

Recent movement