House · #2

CA-22

Latino electorate · Flip probability

Index53.3/100

Model favoriteDem. 100%

Latino CVAP63.6%

7-day move+0.5

Index breakdown

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official

100.0

Competitiveness

20% · model

0.0

Flip probability

15% · model

100.0

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed

100.0

Control importance

10% · model

0.0

Recent movement

10% · model

3.3

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate

30.1

Race history

Race history