House · #26

CO-3

Flip probability · Recent movement

Index37.5/100

Model favoriteDem. 98%

Latino CVAP21.1%

7-day move+45.5

Index breakdown

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official

42.2

Competitiveness

20% · model

4.3

Flip probability

15% · model

97.9

Candidate representation

15% · no verified candidate in registry

0.0

Control importance

10% · model

0.0

Recent movement

10% · model

100.0

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate

35.6

Race history

Race history