Riding profile

CO-3

US House district — CO · Mixed · us co

The question

CO-3: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

CO-3, a mixed riding in CO, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 52% vote share, against 48% for the Democrats, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

HURD, JEFFREY

Sits with Republican

Primary race

Who leads in the primary

Republican

Jeff Hurd 36%

2 candidates polled · Latest poll Dec 12, 2025 · bypulse_opinion_research

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Hurd, Jeffrey

  • Democrat Challenger

    Kelloff, Alexander George

  • Democrat Challenger

    Romero, Dwayne

  • Republican Challenger

    Hanks, Ron

  • Republican Challenger

    Scheppelman, Hope G

Current forecast

Republican

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
4.3
P(close race)
71%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 51.8%
  • Democrat 47.6%
  • Other 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereCO-3 51.8%47.6%0.6%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +5.2 51.9% −4.3 5.4% −4.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

District polls

Polls in this district

3 polls

Pollster Field dates Sample Pop. Topline Source
Ragnar Research Partners Conservatives for America 10–Mar 12 400 LV
Republican 47 Democrat 37
link
Ragnar Research Partners Conservatives for America 10–Mar 12 400 LV
Republican 46 Democrat 41
link
Expedition Strategies 8–Jan 12 400 LV
Republican 48 Democrat 39
link

District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
5.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-0.7 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026