Winner
Dwayne L. Romero 54.8%
Riding profile
CO-3
The question
CO-3: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Democrat
Toss-up
- Probability
- 98%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.4
- P(close race)
- 84%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereCO-3 | 51.0% | 47.7% | 1.3% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% −3.3 | 44.9% +2.7 | 5.1% −3.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
4 polls
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keating Research, Inc. | 21–Jul 23 | 500 | LV | link | |
| Ragnar Research Partners Conservatives for America | 10–Mar 12 | 400 | LV | link | |
| Ragnar Research Partners Conservatives for America | 10–Mar 12 | 400 | LV | link | |
| Expedition Strategies | 8–Jan 12 | 400 | LV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Editorial read
CO-3, a mixed riding in CO, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 51% vote share, against 48% for the Republicans, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
HURD, JEFFREY
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held Jun 30, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
Jeff Hurd 66.4%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Republican Incumbent Hurd, Jeffrey
- Democrat Challenger
Romero, Dwayne
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026