Riding profile

CO-2

US House district — CO · Mixed · us co

The question

CO-2: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

CO-2, a mixed riding in CO, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 39-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 73% vote share, against 27% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

NEGUSE, JOSEPH

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Neguse, Joseph

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
45.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 72.7%
  • Republican 27.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereCO-2 72.7%27.1%0.3%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +20.8 46.6% −19.6 5.4% −5.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
39.4 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.2 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026