Riding profile

CO-6

US House district — CO · Mixed · us co

The question

CO-6: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
32.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 65.8%

    Jason Crow incumbent

  • Republican 33.4%

    Jason Clark

  • Other 0.8%

    Samir Ezzeldin Witta

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereCO-6 65.8%33.4%0.8%
National averageUnited States 54.3% +11.5 44.9% −11.5 5.1% −4.3

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

CO-6, a mixed riding in CO, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 21-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 66% vote share, against 33% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

CROW, JASON

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Primary results

Held Jun 30, 2026 · Certified official result

Democratic primary

Winner

Jason Crow 100.0%

94,207 votes

Republican primary

Winner

Jason Clark 100.0%

38,437 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Crow, Jason

  • Other Challenger

    Witta, Samir Ezzeldin Dr.

  • Republican Open seat

    Jason Clark

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
20.5 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026