Riding profile

CO-1

US House district — CO · Mixed · us co

The question

CO-1: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
66.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 83.0%

    Melat Kiros

  • Republican 16.7%

    Christy Peterson

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereCO-1 83.0%16.7%0.3%
National averageUnited States 54.3% +28.7 44.9% −28.2 5.1% −4.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

CO-1, a mixed riding in CO, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 55-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 83% vote share, against 17% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

DEGETTE, DIANA L

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Primary results

Held Jun 30, 2026 · Certified official result

Democratic primary

Winner

Melat Kiros 53.2%

83,855 votes

Republican primary

Winner

Christy Peterson 100.0%

15,010 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Kiros, Melat

  • Republican Open seat

    Christy Peterson

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
55.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.4 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026