Winner
Eileen Laubacher 100.0%
Riding profile
CO-4
The question
CO-4: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Republican
Toss-up
- Probability
- 81%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.2
- P(close race)
- 94%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereCO-4 | 49.6% | 47.8% | 2.5% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +4.7 | 54.3% −6.5 | 5.1% −2.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
CO-4, a mixed riding in CO, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 50% vote share, against 48% for the Democrats, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
BOEBERT, LAUREN
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held Jun 30, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
Lauren Boebert 100.0%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Boebert, Lauren
-
Democrat Challenger Laubacher, Eileen
- Other Challenger
Veldhuizen, Timothy
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026