Winner
Jessica Killin 61.2%
Riding profile
CO-5
The question
CO-5: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Republican
Toss-up
- Probability
- 97%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.2
- P(close race)
- 86%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereCO-5 | 50.5% | 47.3% | 2.2% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +5.6 | 54.3% −7.0 | 5.1% −2.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
2 polls
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group | 16–Jul 21 | 450 | LV | link | |
| Global Strategy Group | Oct 30 – Nov 3 | 450 | LV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Editorial read
CO-5, a mixed riding in CO, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 50% vote share, against 47% for the Democrats, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
CRANK, JEFF
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held Jun 30, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
Jeff Crank 100.0%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Crank, Jeff
-
Democrat Challenger Killin, Jessica Willow
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026