Riding profile

CO-5

US House district — CO · Mixed · us co

The question

CO-5: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

CO-5, a mixed riding in CO, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 51% vote share, against 45% for the Democrats, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

CRANK, JEFF

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Crank, Jeff

  • Democrat Challenger

    Cavanaugh, Matthew

  • Democrat Challenger

    Gassen, River

  • Democrat Challenger

    Horowitz, Zurit Zuriel

  • Democrat Challenger

    Killin, Jessica Willow

  • Democrat Challenger

    Reagan, Joseph F

Current forecast

Republican

Competitive

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
5.8
P(close race)
33%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 51.3%
  • Democrat 45.5%
  • Other 3.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereCO-5 51.3%45.5%3.2%
National averageUnited States 45.6% +5.7 52.8% −7.4 5.2% −1.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

District polls

Polls in this district

1 poll

Pollster Field dates Sample Pop. Topline Source
Global Strategy Group Oct 30 – Nov 3 450 LV
Republican 43 Democrat 40
link

District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
13.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-8.0 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026