Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

← Back to the U.S. Latino Radar

House · #11

FL-25

Latino electorate · Competitiveness

Index52/100
Favourite and chance of winningDem. 64%
Latino citizens of voting age39%
7-day change+6.1

Chance of winning in our projection, not a vote share. Latino share of citizens of voting age (18 and over), from the Census. Not registered voters, not actual voters.

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official
79

Competitiveness

20% · model
72

Flip probability

15% · model
36

Candidate representation

15% · no verified candidate in registry
0

Control importance

10% · model
90

Recent movement

10% · model
40

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate
32

Democratic chance of winning, day by day

50 % Mar 24, 2026 Nov 2, 2026