Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

← Back to the U.S. Latino Radar

House · #21

FL-26

Latino electorate · Candidate representation

Index42/100
Favourite and chance of winningRep. 95%
Latino citizens of voting age66%
7-day change-0.4

Chance of winning in our projection, not a vote share. Latino share of citizens of voting age (18 and over), from the Census. Not registered voters, not actual voters.

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official
100

Competitiveness

20% · model
11

Flip probability

15% · model
5

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed
100

Control importance

10% · model
3

Recent movement

10% · model
3

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate
32

Democratic chance of winning, day by day

50 % May 26, 2026 Nov 2, 2026