Monday, November 2, 2026
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House · #13

FL-27

Latino electorate · Candidate representation

Index49/100
Favourite and chance of winningRep. 83%
Latino citizens of voting age70%
7-day change-0.4

Chance of winning in our projection, not a vote share. Latino share of citizens of voting age (18 and over), from the Census. Not registered voters, not actual voters.

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official
100

Competitiveness

20% · model
33

Flip probability

15% · model
17

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed
100

Control importance

10% · model
13

Recent movement

10% · model
2

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate
32

Democratic chance of winning, day by day

50 % Aug 3, 2026 Nov 2, 2026