House · #13

TX-15

Latino electorate · Candidate representation

Index40.9/100

Model favoriteRep. 96%

Latino CVAP74.6%

7-day move-3.6

Index breakdown

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official

100.0

Competitiveness

20% · model

7.4

Flip probability

15% · model

3.7

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed

100.0

Control importance

10% · model

0.0

Recent movement

10% · model

23.9

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate

14.6

Race history

Race history