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House · #6

TX-28

Latino electorate · Candidate representation

Index47.4/100
Model favoriteDem. 98%
Latino CVAP68.6%
7-day move+26.0

Index breakdown

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official
100.0

Competitiveness

20% · model
3.4

Flip probability

15% · model
1.7

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed
100.0

Control importance

10% · model
0.0

Recent movement

10% · model
100.0

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate
14.6

Race history

Race history

2026-03-24 2026-09-16