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House · #4

TX-34

Latino electorate · Candidate representation

Index52.9/100
Model favoriteDem. 88%
Latino CVAP86.8%
7-day move+54.7

Index breakdown

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official
100.0

Competitiveness

20% · model
23.3

Flip probability

15% · model
11.6

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed
100.0

Control importance

10% · model
0.0

Recent movement

10% · model
100.0

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate
14.6

Race history

Race history

2026-03-24 2026-09-16