Senate · #7

New Mexico

Latino electorate · Candidate representation

Index47.3/100

Model favoriteDem. 99%

Latino CVAP42.7%

7-day move+1.9

Index breakdown

Index breakdown

Latino electorate

20% · official

85.3

Competitiveness

20% · model

1.9

Flip probability

15% · model

0.9

Candidate representation

15% · reviewed

100.0

Control importance

10% · model

96.5

Recent movement

10% · model

12.9

Likely mobilization

10% · official; state estimate

37.4

Race history

Race history