Riding profile
DE-AL
The question
DE-AL: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 27.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| HereDE-AL | 63.6% | 36.4% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +9.2 | 44.9% −8.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
DE-AL, a mixed riding in DE, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 64% vote share, against 36% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
MCBRIDE, SARAH ELIZABETH
Sits with Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Mcbride, Sarah Elizabeth
-
Republican Challenger Whalen III, John J
Previous election · 2024
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026