Canada Desk · By-elections
Three seats are voting. Six more are coming.
Mark Carney called by-elections in Beaches—East York, Chicoutimi—Le Fjord and North Vancouver—Capilano for August 31, 2026. One more seat is vacant and waiting on a writ, and five members have announced their departure — including Shaun Chen in Scarborough North. The common thread is measurement: how much of each seat belonged to the party, and how much belonged to the person who is leaving.
Seats vacant — writ pending
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie
One man, one seat.
Favourite · Liberal 97 %
View forecast → QCSaint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton
A Bloc seat, not a Bloc star.
Favourite · Bloc Québécois 60 %
View forecast → QCLaurier—Sainte-Marie
Leaving to campaign elsewhere.
Favourite · Liberal > 99 %
View forecast → SKYorkton—Melville
The safest of the eight.
Favourite · Conservative > 99 %
View forecast → ONScarborough-Nord
The safest Liberal vacancy yet.
Favourite · Liberal > 99 %
View forecast →Announced — seat not yet vacant
Resolved — April 13, 2026
Three by-elections, three correct calls.