Canada Desk · By-elections
Three by-elections, three correct calls.
On April 13, 2026, three federal by-elections were held. Vote-Scope called all three correctly before election day — a Liberal hold in Scarborough Southwest, a Liberal hold in University—Rosedale, and a Liberal gain in Terrebonne over the Bloc Québécois.
Scarborough Southwest.
Doly Begum and the Liberals took Scarborough Southwest with the highest share of the three April 13, 2026 federal by-elections. Together with Terrebonne and University—Rosedale, the result handed the Carney government an absolute majority in the House of Commons.
View page →Terrebonne.
Tatiana Auguste et les libéraux gagnent Terrebonne. Vote-Scope had projected a Liberal gain over the Bloc with 63% confidence before the April 13, 2026 federal by-election — the result confirmed the call.
View page →University—Rosedale.
Danielle Martin and the Liberals held University—Rosedale comfortably. With Terrebonne and Scarborough Southwest the same night, the result handed the Carney government an absolute majority in the House of Commons.
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