Riding profile
NH-2
The question
NH-2: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 18.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereNH-2 | 58.6% | 40.2% | 1.1% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +4.3 | 44.9% −4.7 | 5.1% −4.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
7 polls
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Anselm | 17–Aug 18 | 701 | LV | link | |
| St. Anselm | 24–Jun 25 | 802 | RV | link | |
| St. Anselm | 16–Mar 18 | 739 | RV | link | |
| University Of New Hampshire | 15–Jan 19 | 1,094 | LV | link | |
| St. Anselm | 18–Nov 19 | 1,102 | RV | link | |
| University Of New Hampshire | 17–Sep 23 | 508 | LV | link | |
| St. Anselm | 26–Aug 27 | 881 | RV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Editorial read
NH-2, a mixed riding in NH, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 59% vote share, against 40% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
GOODLANDER, MAGGIE
Sits with Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Goodlander, Maggie
- Democrat Challenger
Beauchemin, Paige
-
Republican Challenger Orlando, Victor D
- Republican Challenger
Williams, Lily Tang
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026