Riding profile

NH-2

US House district — NH · Mixed · us nh

The question

NH-2: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

NH-2, a mixed riding in NH, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 58% vote share, against 41% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

GOODLANDER, MAGGIE

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Who leads in the primary

Democrat

Maggie Goodlander 76%

2 candidates polled · Latest poll Jun 25, 2026 · byst._anselm

Republican

Lily Tang Williams 56%

2 candidates polled · Latest poll Jun 25, 2026 · byst._anselm

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Goodlander, Maggie

  • Democrat Challenger

    Beauchemin, Paige

  • Republican Challenger

    Williams, Lily Tang

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
16.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 57.9%
  • Republican 41.4%
  • Other 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereNH-2 57.9%41.4%0.7%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +6.0 46.6% −5.2 5.4% −4.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

District polls

Polls in this district

6 polls

Pollster Field dates Sample Pop. Topline Source
St. Anselm 24–Jun 25 802 RV
Democrat 50 Republican 31
link
St. Anselm 16–Mar 18 739 RV
Democrat 48 Republican 36
link
University Of New Hampshire 15–Jan 19 1,094 LV
Democrat 54 Republican 40
link
St. Anselm 18–Nov 19 1,102 RV
Democrat 40 Republican 35
link
University Of New Hampshire 17–Sep 23 508 LV
Democrat 51 Republican 39
link
St. Anselm 26–Aug 27 881 RV
Democrat 49 Republican 31
link

District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
5.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+10.7 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026