Riding profile
RI-1
The question
RI-1: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 42.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereRI-1 | 69.8% | 27.0% | 3.2% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +15.5 | 44.9% −17.9 | 5.1% −1.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
RI-1, a mixed riding in RI, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 70% vote share, against 27% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
AMO, GABRIEL F
Sits with Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Amo, Gabriel F
-
Republican Challenger Keenan, Kellie Eleanor
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026