Riding profile

RI-1

US House district — RI · Mixed · us ri

The question

RI-1: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

RI-1, a mixed riding in RI, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 67% vote share, against 30% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

AMO, GABRIEL F

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Amo, Gabriel F

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
37.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 67.4%
  • Republican 30.1%
  • Other 2.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereRI-1 67.4%30.1%2.5%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +15.5 46.6% −16.6 5.4% −2.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
31.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.3 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026