Riding profile

WV-2

US House district — WV · Mixed · us wv

The question

WV-2: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
30.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 65.3%
  • Democrat 34.7%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereWV-2 65.3%34.7%
National averageUnited States 44.9% +20.3 54.3% −19.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

WV-2, a mixed riding in WV, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 42-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 65% vote share, against 35% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

MOORE, RILEY

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Moore, Riley

  • Democrat Challenger

    Parsi, Ahsan

  • Democrat Challenger

    Tomana, Stephanie

  • Democrat Challenger

    Wendelin, Steven Commander Usn, (Ret)

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
41.5 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-11.0 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026