Riding profile

Cher — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Cher

The question

Cher — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Cher — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Cher, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 43% vote share, against 28% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

François CORMIER-BOULIGEON

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability
81%
Mean margin (pts)
14.8
P(close race)
38%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 42.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 27.9%
  • Left (NFP) 24.4%
  • Others 2.3%
  • Far left 1.4%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) Others
HereCher — 1ère circonscription 42.7%27.9%24.4%2.3%
Provincial averageCher 44.8% −2.0 23.3% +4.6 23.1% +1.2 2.1% +0.2
National averageFrance 36.0% +6.8 20.6% +7.3 29.5% −5.1 3.9% −1.6

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+14.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Ugo IANNUZZI RN and allies 18,100 39.9 —
François CORMIER-BOULIGEON Elected Centre (Ensemble) 14,961 33.0 —
Hugo LEFELLE Left (NFP) 11,432 25.2 —
Sylvie CERVEAU Far left 680 1.5 —
Sandrine BELLON Others 149 0.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next