Riding profile
Cher — 2ème circonscription
The question
Cher — 2ème circonscription: will Left (NFP) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Cher — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Cher, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 45% vote share, against 29% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Nicolas SANSU
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCher — 2ème circonscription | 44.5% | 28.8% | 15.8% | 7.6% |
| Provincial averageCher | 44.8% −0.2 | 23.1% +5.6 | 23.3% −7.5 | 5.3% +2.3 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +8.6 | 29.5% −0.7 | 20.6% −4.8 | 12.2% −4.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastian DUENAS | RN and allies | 17,246 | 40.6 | — |
| Nicolas SANSU Elected | Left (NFP) | 12,621 | 29.7 | — |
| Gabriel BEHAGHEL | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,857 | 20.8 | — |
| Philippe BULTEAU | LR and allies | 2,705 | 6.4 | — |
| Régis ROBIN | Far left | 580 | 1.4 | — |
| Ludovic JAULIN | RN and allies | 508 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Cher — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Cher — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Loir-et-Cher — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Indre — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Loiret — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Loiret — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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