Riding profile
Indre — 2ème circonscription
The question
Indre — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Indre — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Indre, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 42% vote share, against 31% for the LR right, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Nicolas FORISSIER
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 75%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.1
- P(close race)
- 51%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIndre — 2ème circonscription | 42.4% | 31.3% | 21.5% | 3.2% |
| Provincial averageIndre | 43.4% −1.0 | 16.3% +15.1 | 21.2% +0.4 | 2.6% +0.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +6.4 | 12.2% +19.1 | 29.5% −8.0 | 3.9% −0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc SIFFERT | RN and allies | 24,512 | 41.7 | — |
| Nicolas FORISSIER Elected | LR and allies | 18,700 | 31.8 | — |
| Clément SAPIN | Left (NFP) | 13,783 | 23.5 | — |
| Damien MERCIER | Far left | 931 | 1.6 | — |
| Pierre SCHWARZ | Others | 836 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Indre — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Cher — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Loir-et-Cher — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Loir-et-Cher — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Creuse — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Cher — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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