Riding profile

Loir-et-Cher — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Loir-et-Cher

The question

Loir-et-Cher — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Loir-et-Cher — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Loir-et-Cher, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 53% vote share, against 25% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Roger CHUDEAU

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
27.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 53.2%
  • LR and allies 25.4%
  • Left (NFP) 17.8%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 1.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies LR and allies Left (NFP) Others
HereLoir-et-Cher — 2ème circonscription 53.2%25.4%17.8%1.9%
Provincial averageLoir-et-Cher 45.5% +7.7 11.3% +14.2 17.0% +0.8 2.0% −0.1
National averageFrance 36.0% +17.2 12.2% +13.2 29.5% −11.7 3.9% −2.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+27.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Roger CHUDEAU Elected RN and allies 25,615 49.7 —
Nils AUCANTE LR and allies 10,340 20.1 —
Sylvie MAYER Left (NFP) 10,027 19.5 —
Alexandre GUILLEMAUD LR and allies 2,803 5.4 —
Hervé LANCELOT RN and allies 1,719 3.3 —
Caroline MAIDON Far left 966 1.9 —
Bénédicte DE SAINT PIERRE LR and allies 46 0.1 —
Eric FOUQUE Others 0 0.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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