Riding profile

Cher — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Cher

The question

Cher — 3ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Cher — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Cher, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 26% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Loïc KERVRAN

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
20.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 47.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 26.1%
  • Left (NFP) 16.3%
  • LR and allies 7.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%
  • Sovereignists 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereCher — 3ème circonscription 47.0%26.1%16.3%7.0%
Provincial averageCher 44.8% +2.3 23.3% +2.8 23.1% −6.8 5.3% +1.8
National averageFrance 36.0% +11.1 20.6% +5.5 29.5% −13.2 12.2% −5.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+20.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Pierre GENTILLET RN and allies 23,501 43.1 —
Loïc KERVRAN Elected Centre (Ensemble) 16,991 31.2 —
Emma MOREIRA Left (NFP) 9,334 17.1 —
Bénédicte DE CHOULOT LR and allies 3,178 5.8 —
Eric LOUGNON RN and allies 599 1.1 —
Eric BELLET Far left 568 1.0 —
Christa CHARTIER Sovereignists 290 0.5 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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