Riding profile
Indre — 1ère circonscription
The question
Indre — 1ère circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Indre — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Indre, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 44% vote share, against 30% for the centrist bloc, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
François JOLIVET
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Competitive
- Probability
- 87%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.5
- P(close race)
- 26%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIndre — 1ère circonscription | 44.5% | 30.0% | 20.8% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageIndre | 43.4% +1.0 | 30.0% | 21.2% −0.4 | 2.6% −0.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +8.5 | 20.6% +9.4 | 29.5% −8.7 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mylène WUNSCH | RN and allies | 19,755 | 40.2 | — |
| François JOLIVET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,256 | 35.1 | — |
| Eloïse GONZALEZ | Left (NFP) | 10,658 | 21.7 | — |
| Véronique GELINAUD | Far left | 756 | 1.5 | — |
| Marie-Odile TRUSCH | RN and allies | 716 | 1.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Indre — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Indre-et-Loire — 3ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Haute-Vienne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Loir-et-Cher — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Vienne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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