Riding profile

Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Indre-et-Loire

The question

Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Indre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Indre-et-Loire, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 39% vote share, against 27% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Daniel LABARONNE

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability
60%
Mean margin (pts)
11.5
P(close race)
81%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 39.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 27.5%
  • Left (NFP) 22.5%
  • LR and allies 7.7%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereIndre-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription 39.0%27.5%22.5%7.7%
Provincial averageIndre-et-Loire 34.7% +4.3 23.7% +3.8 29.4% −7.0 7.7%
National averageFrance 36.0% +3.0 20.6% +6.9 29.5% −7.0 12.2% −4.6

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Corine FOUGERON RN and allies 22,396 35.1 —
Daniel LABARONNE Elected Centre (Ensemble) 20,801 32.6 —
Christelle GOBERT Left (NFP) 14,891 23.3 —
Maxime MAINTIER LR and allies 4,123 6.5 —
Anne BRUNET Far left 938 1.5 —
Philippe SAINTIGNAN RN and allies 688 1.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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