Riding profile

Indre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Indre-et-Loire

The question

Indre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Indre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Indre-et-Loire, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 48% vote share, against 23% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Charles FOURNIER

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
25.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 47.9%
  • RN and allies 22.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 19.1%
  • LR and allies 7.1%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereIndre-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription 47.9%22.9%19.1%7.1%
Provincial averageIndre-et-Loire 29.4% +18.5 34.7% −11.8 23.7% −4.6 7.7% −0.5
National averageFrance 29.5% +18.4 36.0% −13.1 20.6% −1.5 12.2% −5.1

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+25.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Charles FOURNIER Elected Left (NFP) 21,250 45.3 —
Benoist PIERRE Centre (Ensemble) 11,333 24.2 —
Lisa GARBAY RN and allies 8,870 18.9 —
Lucas JANER LR and allies 2,774 5.9 —
Alain DAYAN Left (NFP) 1,690 3.6 —
Arnaud OSSART RN and allies 496 1.1 —
Thomas JOUHANNAUD Far left 473 1.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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