Riding profile
Vienne — 3ème circonscription
The question
Vienne — 3ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Vienne — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Vienne, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 44% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Pascal LECAMP
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 97%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 17.9
- P(close race)
- 6%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVienne — 3ème circonscription | 43.9% | 26.0% | 25.2% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageVienne | 36.7% +7.2 | 31.0% −5.0 | 26.7% −1.5 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +7.9 | 29.5% −3.5 | 20.6% +4.7 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric SOULAT | RN and allies | 19,887 | 40.8 | — |
| Pascal LECAMP Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,704 | 30.2 | — |
| Gisèle JEAN | Left (NFP) | 13,020 | 26.7 | — |
| Soizic JOUAN | Far left | 688 | 1.4 | — |
| Tatiana GOUVERNEUR | Greens | 417 | 0.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Vienne — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Vienne — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Vienne — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Charente — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscriptionGreens Safe seatOpen →
- Indre-et-Loire — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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