Riding profile
Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription
The question
Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the Greens?
Editorial read
Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Deux-Sèvres, elected a member with the Greens in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Greens ahead at 38% vote share, against 38% for the Greens, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Delphine BATHO
Sits with Greens
Current forecast
Greens
Competitive
- Probability
- 91%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.3
- P(close race)
- 18%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Greens | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDeux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription | 38.0% | 37.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% |
| Provincial averageDeux-Sèvres | 34.9% +3.1 | 37.7% | 24.0% −13.1 | 8.8% +1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +2.1 | 2.1% +35.6 | 20.6% −9.6 | 12.2% −1.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delphine BATHO Elected | Greens | 25,435 | 38.6 | — |
| Mélody GARAULT | RN and allies | 22,500 | 34.1 | — |
| Frédéric BIZARD | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,536 | 16.0 | — |
| Emilie BAUDREZ | LR and allies | 6,107 | 9.3 | — |
| Guy BOURDON | RN and allies | 760 | 1.1 | — |
| Roger GORIZZUTTI | Far left | 607 | 0.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Deux-Sèvres — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Vienne — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Deux-Sèvres — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vienne — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Vienne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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