Riding profile

Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Charente-Maritime

The question

Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription: will Left (NFP) lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Charente-Maritime, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 44% vote share, against 28% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Fabrice BARUSSEAU

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
15.4
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 43.6%
  • Left (NFP) 28.2%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.8%
  • Far left 2.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) Far left
HereCharente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription 43.6%28.2%22.8%2.0%
Provincial averageCharente-Maritime 40.2% +3.4 32.6% −4.3 23.4% −0.6 1.1% +0.9
National averageFrance 36.0% +7.7 29.5% −1.3 20.6% +2.2 1.1% +0.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+15.4 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Stéphane MORIN RN and allies 22,759 40.9 —
Fabrice BARUSSEAU Elected Left (NFP) 15,637 28.1 —
Jean-Philippe ARDOUIN Centre (Ensemble) 15,536 27.9 —
Anne-Catherine GODDE Far left 1,196 2.1 —
Gérald DAHAN-BERTHELOT Left (NFP) 587 1.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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