Riding profile

Charente — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Charente

The question

Charente — 2ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Charente — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Charente, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 44% vote share, against 22% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Sandra MARSAUD

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 44.2%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.4%
  • Left (NFP) 19.6%
  • LR and allies 10.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereCharente — 2ème circonscription 44.2%22.4%19.6%10.0%
Provincial averageCharente 41.9% +2.3 22.4% +0.1 25.5% −5.9 6.8% +3.3
National averageFrance 36.0% +8.2 20.6% +1.9 29.5% −9.9 12.2% −2.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+21.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Barthélemy MARTIN RN and allies 21,440 38.9 —
Sandra MARSAUD Elected Centre (Ensemble) 15,091 27.4 —
Carole BALLU Left (NFP) 11,208 20.3 —
Didier JOBIT LR and allies 4,829 8.8 —
Françoise BESSAS Far left 832 1.5 —
Alain Gérard JANOT RN and allies 737 1.3 —
Aurore DE CLISSON RN and allies 509 0.9 —
Corentin VINSONNEAU Greens 457 0.8 —

Around the region

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Last model run
Cycle
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