Riding profile
Gironde — 11ème circonscription
The question
Gironde — 11ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Gironde — 11ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Gironde, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 56% vote share, against 21% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Edwige DIAZ
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 34.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGironde — 11ème circonscription | 56.1% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 36.0% +20.1 | 32.7% −11.6 | 24.0% −6.5 | 1.1% +0.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +20.1 | 29.5% −8.3 | 20.6% −3.1 | 1.1% +0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwige DIAZ Elected | RN and allies | 34,590 | 53.3 | — |
| Véronique HAMMERER | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,619 | 22.5 | — |
| Cécilia FONSECA | Left (NFP) | 14,287 | 22.0 | — |
| Zina AHMIMOU | Far left | 1,359 | 2.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Gironde — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Charente-Maritime — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 10ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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