Riding profile
Gironde — 10ème circonscription
The question
Gironde — 10ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Gironde — 10ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Gironde, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 25% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Florent BOUDIÉ
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 21.7
- P(close race)
- 1%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGironde — 10ème circonscription | 46.6% | 24.9% | 23.4% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 36.0% +10.6 | 24.0% +0.8 | 32.7% −9.3 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +10.6 | 20.6% +4.3 | 29.5% −6.1 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandrine CHADOURNE | RN and allies | 25,037 | 43.8 | — |
| Florent BOUDIÉ Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,128 | 30.0 | — |
| Pascal BOURGOIS | Left (NFP) | 13,885 | 24.3 | — |
| Hélène HALBIN | Far left | 1,117 | 1.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Gironde — 12ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 11ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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