Riding profile

Dordogne — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Dordogne

The question

Dordogne — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Dordogne — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Dordogne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 42% vote share, against 29% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Nadine LECHON

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
13.6
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 42.1%
  • Left (NFP) 28.5%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 19.2%
  • LR and allies 6.5%
  • Others 2.2%
  • Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereDordogne — 1ère circonscription 42.1%28.5%19.2%6.5%
Provincial averageDordogne 42.6% −0.5 29.3% −0.8 16.7% +2.6 8.1% −1.6
National averageFrance 36.0% +6.2 29.5% −1.0 20.6% −1.3 12.2% −5.7

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+13.6 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Nadine LECHON Elected RN and allies 20,199 38.2 —
Pascale MARTIN Left (NFP) 15,540 29.4 —
Clément TONON Centre (Ensemble) 12,835 24.3 —
Bérenger DESPORT NAMUR LR and allies 2,789 5.3 —
Jonathan ALMOSNINO Far left 751 1.4 —
Antoine COUTOU RN and allies 572 1.1 —
Stéphane LAMBERT Others 129 0.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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