Riding profile
Dordogne — 2ème circonscription
The question
Dordogne — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Dordogne — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Dordogne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 46% vote share, against 27% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Serge MULLER
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 18.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDordogne — 2ème circonscription | 45.5% | 27.4% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
| Provincial averageDordogne | 42.6% +2.9 | 29.3% −1.9 | 16.7% −2.1 | 8.1% +1.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +9.5 | 29.5% −2.1 | 20.6% −6.0 | 12.2% −3.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serge MULLER Elected | RN and allies | 24,374 | 42.7 | — |
| Christophe CATHUS | Left (NFP) | 16,131 | 28.3 | — |
| Michel DELPON | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,173 | 19.6 | — |
| Josie BAYLE | LR and allies | 4,574 | 8.0 | — |
| Lise KHELFAOUI | Far left | 816 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Dordogne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Lot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Dordogne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Dordogne — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 10ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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