Riding profile
Lot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscription
The question
Lot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscription: will LR and allies lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Lot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Lot-et-Garonne, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 42% vote share, against 31% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Guillaume LEPERS
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.3
- P(close race)
- 1%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscription | 41.8% | 30.5% | 24.9% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageLot-et-Garonne | 46.6% −4.8 | 27.1% +3.4 | 9.1% +15.7 | 2.5% −0.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +5.8 | 29.5% +1.0 | 12.2% +12.6 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annick COUSIN | RN and allies | 21,170 | 41.1 | — |
| Guillaume LEPERS Elected | LR and allies | 12,876 | 25.0 | — |
| Xavier CZAPLA | Left (NFP) | 9,504 | 18.4 | — |
| Jérôme CAHUZAC | Left (NFP) | 7,457 | 14.5 | — |
| Bernadette GASC | Far left | 521 | 1.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Lot-et-Garonne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Dordogne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Tarn-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Dordogne — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gers — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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